Contribution by Manoj Singh, Agricultural Development Specialist, New Delhi, India
Are current investments sufficient to ensure adequate growth of agricultural production, sustainable use of natural resources, efficient market infrastructure, and technical progress?
Investment in agriculture has been steadily declining since the 1970s. As a result, the rate of growth of agricultural capital stock (ACS) in the world fell from 1.1 percent in 1975–1990 to 0.50 percent in 1991–2007. Similarly, the share of official development assistance going to the agricultural sector fell from 17 percent in 1980 to 3.8 percent in 2006, with the same downward trend observed in the national budgets of developing countries. With the recent surge in food prices and food riots across the globe and interest in large-scale land acquisition by investors - especially foreign - across the developing world has attracted substantial media interest and provoked international concern and made everyone to focus on increase in investment in agriculture.
The main focus of investment in agriculture should be based upon the desired framework, which will build on and expands existing analysis, recommendations, guidelines and mechanisms, will facilitate compilation and sharing of relevant data and information, lessons learned and good practices, definition of basic and operating principles, creation of analytical and operational tools, and encouragement of partnerships at the subnational, country and perhaps regional level. The success of this framework depends directly on three major concerns: deriving a broad-based agreement that spans all relevant sectors; achieving full transparency and accountability in program and project design and implementation; and ensuring sufficient flexibility to allow for customization at the national, subnational and even community level, as well as experiential learning.
Developing nations such as Africa requires investment in roads, irrigation schemes, storage, production, marketing, processing, research and institutions. There is need to coordinate private and public investments. Problem areas should be identified and investment must be made in agricultural research to solve the global food crisis. Such an approach has succeeded in the past. Investment in agricultural research has "paid off handsomely," delivering an average rate of return of 43 per cent in 700 projects evaluated in developing countries, according to the World Bank's World Development Report 2008.
In one of its recent reports, the Deutsche Bank identifies a number of strategies to increase global agricultural productions in sustainable ways, including improvements in irrigation, fertilization and agricultural equipment using technologies ranging from geographic information systems and global analytical maps to the development of precision, high performance equipment. It also stresses on applying sophisticated management and technologies on a global scale, essentially extending research and investment into developing regions of the world. The report says that investing in “farmer competence” is important to take full advantage of new technologies through education and extension services, including investing private capital in better training farmers.
Those Agricultural Investment Projects should be identified which has made an impact in economics of the nations and their possible replication process should be studied and implemented for other nations. The Comprehensive Africa Agricultural Development Program provides one of the model. All of its member nations have pledged to devote 10 percent of their national budgets to agricultural development. Rwanda has become the first country to complete its agricultural development plan and it's already showing results. In three years, Rwanda's investment in agriculture has increased fivefold and agricultural GDP has doubled.
In Mali, for example, the World Bank financed the modernization of a system of canals that improved irrigation, and as a result, rice yields and farmers' incomes increased dramatically. In Ethiopia, the World Bank rebuilt and expanded road networks, which reduced travel time and freight costs by 25 percent.
Countries have already made contributions in strengthening investments in agriculture. The leaders of the G-8 pledged $20 billion to a global effort to strengthen agriculture. Pakistan offered to sell or lease 404,700 hectares of farmland to foreign investors looking to secure food supplies to their countries. And Egypt is expanding its hold on farmland in Nile Basin countries in order to protect its water supply and boost supplies of staple crops.
Will improvements in food availability to meet the global demand growth projected for 2050 help turn the current trend of rising hunger and malnutrition?
Improvement in food availability depends upon many factors not necessarily related to agriculture production and productivity improvement only. These factors are:
Economic access
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Increasing productivity in food production, leading to increased incomes and improvements in purchasing power;
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Technology options like cell phones and the Internet that help get crops and livestock to market at lower cost and with improved price transmission;
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Increased attention to value addition for food staples, horticulture, and animal products through postharvest research and development on processing, packaging and marketing, which can enhance non-farm income opportunities.
Social access
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Technology options that are especially accessible to women - given their indispensable role in ensuring household food security - and allow child care at the same time, such as advice and assistance with home vegetable gardens.
Physiological utilization
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Technologies for successful food fortification and water purification;
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Nutrient supplementation and biofortification;
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Access to safe water and health/hygiene services
Therefore need is to focus on all the factors in a holistic manner.
Which additional measures might be needed to broaden access to food?
Access to food is mainly determined by household income. Lack of access is therefore closely linked with poverty. Where incomes are insufficient, transfer or food assistance programs (such as feeding programs or food subsidies) are a means to ensuring access to food.
Sometimes people do not have access to food even when it is available at national level. This is a particular issue for poor households without access to land. There are two important aspects of access to food:
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Economic access People need to have money to buy food and agricultural inputs. Food prices also affect people’s ability to buy food. Food prices are influenced by local and global factors, including the impact of droughts on harvest, government polices and trade agreements.
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Physical access People may live far from the market or insecurity may prevent them from travelling. They may not have access to transport or there may be physical barriers such as poor quality roads, a broken bridge or a road that is washed away.
There is need to strengthen accessibility to above mentioned aspects which leads to broadening of access to food. With a growing world's population, access to food, particularly healthy food needs to be a priority in our communities, schools, and governments. Money or geographic location should not be the determining factor in deciding who gets to eat a healthy meal.
There is need to stop the commercialization and politicizing of food, and ensure that the world's population, especially young children, are guaranteed unrestricted access to the food resources they need to survive.
Should competition for scarce resources be reduced between food and biofuels? If the answer is yes, through which policies?
There is direct correlation of growing demand for crops for biofuel production and its effect on global crop prices. The Policy Research Institute Japan's Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (PRIMAFF) released the results of quantitative analyses on how the growing demand for crops for biofuel production would affect global crop price, on January 30, 2009. Based on the price of maize in 2006/07 (from April 2006 through March 2007), the Institute estimated the price of maize for each year to 2018 under two scenarios; one in which the U.S. continues to implement the current bioethanol program, and one in which it does not. The results showed that without the ethanol program the price decreased by 22.2 percent for 2007/08 and by 36.9 percent for 2017/18, from the 2006/07 level. An International Monetary Fund assessment was even more pessimistic. IMF estimates suggest increased demand for biofuels accounts for 70 percent of the increase in corn prices and 40 percent of the increase in soybean prices. In an article entitled "How Biofuels Could Starve the Poor”, published in the Council on Foreign Relations Foreign Affairs magazine for May/June 2007, economists C. Ford Runge and Benjamin Senauer concluded that if the prices of staple foods increase because of the demand for biofuels, "the number of food-insecure people in the world would rise by over 16 million for every percentage point in the real prices of staple foods."
There is urgent need to shift in policies related to biofuel across the nations. Japan’s biofuel policy could be one of the benchmark in this direction. The primary biofuel policy of Japan for 2008 places importance on research and development and promote research and development of ethanol using cellulosic biomass, which does not compete with the supply of food. Further, selective-breeding is being promoted to develop suitable biofuel crops to enable large volume ethanol production, for example, breeds which have an inferior taste but larger harvest volumes than existing crops. Large-scale demonstration facilities, not laboratory level facilities, will be established that embrace production and sales. Furthermore, as a tax measure, the bioethanol portion of gasoline mixed with bioethanol is scheduled to be made tax exempt.
Regds
Manoj Singh
Agricultural Development Specialist
New Delhi
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