Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems
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Luis Chícharo1,2, Radhouan Ben-Hamadou1,2, Ana Amaral, Pedro Range, Carmen Mateus, David Piló, Rute Marques, Pedro Morais & Maria Alexandra Chícharo 1 International Centre for Coastal Ecohydrology – ICCE, Solar do Capitão mor, Horta das figuras, EN125. 8005-815 Faro, Portugal lchichar@ualg.pt 2 Centro de Ciências do Mar – CCMAR, Universidade do Algarve, Campus de Gambelas, 8005-139 Faro, Portugal Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 166-168 Climate responsive urban groundwater management options in a stressed aquifer system H. F. Gabriel1 & S. Khan2 1 NIT, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, (SCEE), National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST), Islamabad, Pakistan s.khan@unesco.org 2 UNESCO Division of Water Sciences, Paris, France Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 169-170 Increasing complexity of USGS hydrological modelling: GSFLOW, a coupled groundwater and surface water flow model Jo Leslie Eimers & Steve Markstrom US Geological Survey, MS 420 National Center, Reston, Virginia 20192, USA jleimers@usgs.gov Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 171-172 Challenges in solving the transboundary water disputes in India under a changing climate and environment K. SHADANANAN NAIR Nansen Environmental Research Centre – India, Gopal Residency II Floor, Thottekkat Road, Kochi 682011, Kerala, India nair59@yahoo.com Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 173 A UNESCO Regional Centre for Integrated River Basin Management in sub-Saharan Africa: NWRI Kaduna, Nigeria OWOLABI AJAYI1, OLUSANJO BAMGBOYE2 & DOGARA BASHIR2 1 Department of Geology, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife, Nigeria owoajayi@oauife.edu.ng; owolabi.ajayi@gmail.com 2 National Water Resources Institute, PMB 2309, Mando Road, Kaduna, Nigeria Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 174-176 Optimisation of agricultural drainage to manage irrigation salinity in Australia – an example from the Murray irrigation area, Australia Tariq Rana1 & Shahbaz Khan2 1 Charles Sturt University & Cooperative Research Centre for Irrigation Futures, PO Box 56, Darling Heights, Queensland 4350, Australia trana@csu.edu.au 2 Water and Sustainable Development Section, Division of Water Sciences, Natural Sciences Sector, UNESCO, 1 rue Miollis, 75015 Paris, France Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 177-180 Integrated water resources management: the case of the Panama Canal Basin EDA R. SOTO The Panama Canal Authority, Environment Division. Balboa, Ancón, Republic of Panama esoto@pancanal.com Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 181-182 Utilisation des classifications d’Oldeman et de Schmidt-Ferguson pour l’aptitude culturale des sols à Batu, Indonésie SANDY BUDI WIBOWO Université Paris 1 Panthéon – Sorbonne, Institut de Géographie, 191, rue Saint-Jacques, F-75005 Paris, France sandy_budi_wibowo@yahoo.co.id Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 183-184 Water–energy nexus in irrigation supply systems using a demand-based dynamic nodal network model Aftab Ahmad1, Shahbaz Khan2 & John Louis1 1 Charles Sturt University, Locked Bag 588, Wagga Wagga, New South Wales 2678, Australia aahmad@csu.edu.au 2 Water and Sustainable Development Section, Division of Water Sciences, UNESCO, 1 Rue Miollis, 75015 Paris, France Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 187-192 Use of participatory scenario modelling as platforms in stakeholder dialogues L. ANDERSSON1, A. JONSSON2, J. WILK1 & J. ALKAN OLSSON3 1 Swedish Meteorological Hydrological Institute, SE-601 76 Norrköping, Sweden lotta.andersson@smhi.se 2 Centre for Climate Science and Policy Research, The Tema Institute, Linköping University, SE-601 74 Norrköping, Sweden 3 Lund University Centre for Sustainability Studies, PO Box 170, SE-221 00 Lund, Sweden Abstract Water-related problems are characterized by complexities, uncertainties and conflicting interests, and there is no single “optimal” way to approach these “wicked” problems. Model-assisted participatory processes have been suggested as one way to meet these challenges. However, the use of models as scenario tools for local planning of mitigation and adaptation strategies addressing environmental challenges is more often an exception than common practice. In order to assess future possibilities for successful use of participatory scenario modelling, experiences from two model-facilitated projects are presented and discussed. The participatory scenario modelling described in this paper implies modelling with people, as opposed to agent-based modelling which is based on modelling of people’s behaviour and its consequences. In the first project, a participatory model-assisted process was conducted to formulate a locally proposed remedy plan to reduce nitrogen and phosphorus loads in local lakes and the coastal zone. In the second project, a similar process was used to formulate local adaptation strategies to climate change impacts on water allocation, farming and the environment. Based on the experiences of these projects; recommendations are made as to how model-assisted participatory processes can best be organised and conducted. A key message is that modellers need to rethink their role as “solution providers” to become “process facilitators”. Key words participatory water management; participatory modelling; stakeholder involvement; catchment modelling; eutrophication; EU Water Framework Directive; climate change; adaptation; mitigation; South Africa; Sweden Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 193-197 Water 2100: A synthesis of natural and societal domains to create actionable knowledge through AquaPedia and water diplomacy SHAFIQUL ISLAM1,2, YONGXUAN GAO1 & ALI S AKANDA1 1 WE REASoN (Water and Environmental Research, Education, & Actionable Solutions Network), Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Tufts University, Medford, Massachusetts, USA 2 Water Diplomacy, The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University, Medford, Massachusetts, USA shafiqul.islam@tufts.edu Abstract Water issues are complex because they cross multiple boundaries and involve various stakeholders with competing needs. The origin of many water issues is a dynamic consequence of competition, interconnections, and feedback among variables in the natural and societal domains. When viewed as a limited resource, water lends itself to destructive conflicts over its division; knowledge of water, however, can transform a finite water quantity into a flexible resource. To generate such a transformative knowledge base for water, we need a framework to synthesize explicit (scientific) and tacit (contextual) water knowledge. Such a framework must build on scientific objectivity and be cognizant of contextual differences inherent to water issues. Water 2100 builds on this framework to develop an interactive, searchable, web-based repository of water case studies from across the world, called AquaPedia, that will facilitate the sharing of water knowledge and promote discussion among stakeholders to resolve wicked water problems through negotiated solutions. Key words water diplomacy; AquaPedia; actionable knowledge; synthesis Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 198-199 RANA-ICE, a methodology to estimate compensatory runoff in Costa Rica Anny Chaves1, Alexia Pacheco1, Irina Krasovskaia2 & Lars Gottschalk2 1 Instituto Costarricense de Electricidad, Costa Rica achaves@ice.go.cr 2 Department of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Norway Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 200-202 Watershed prioritization for effective water resource management Ab. Latif Ibrahim Institute of Geospatial Science and Technology (INSTEG), Faculty of Geoinformation Science and Engineering, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, 81310 Skudai, Johor, Malaysia ablatif@utm.my Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 203-204 Hydrological modelling in the Brazilian Water Resources Information System (SNIRH) CELSO A. G. SANTOS, CRISTIANO DAS N. ALMEIDA, AMÍLCAR SOARES JÚNIOR, PAULA K. M. M. FREIRE & FRANCISCO A. R. BARBOSA Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engng, Federal University of Paraíba, 58051-900 João Pessoa, Paraíba, Brazil celso@ct.ufpb.br Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 205-206 Motion charts for visualising long-term water quality in South African rivers Michael Silberbauer Resource Quality Services, Department of Water Affairs, Private Bag X313, Pretoria 0001, South Africa silberbauerm@dwa.gov.za Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 209-213 Neural networks for water systems analysis: from fundamentals to complex pattern recognition SANDHYA SAMARASINGHE Centre for Advanced Computational Solutions (C-fACS), Department of Environmental Management, Lincoln University, Christchurch, New Zealand sandhya.samarasinghe@lincoln.ac.nz Abstract Accurate river flows are crucial for effective water resource management. However, estimating flows in ungauged rivers, particularly those in difficult to access terrains, is a challenging problem for water scientists and managers. As a solution, hydrological regionalisation (HR) has been proposed to estimate river flows based on proxy-basin, interpolation and regression methods. Recently, neural networks have been shown to produce improved estimates. In this study, HR-based artificial neural networks (ANN) models were developed for estimating monthly flows in ungauged rivers in New Zealand using hydrological and geomorphological attributes. After rigorous input selection, multilayer perceptron (MLP) networks were first developed by trial and error. Then, a new MLP method, not involving trial and error, was developed by clustering the correlated hidden neurons in a trained MLP to simplify the model structure; this produced overall better results than the trial-and-error MLP and a genetic algorithm optimised MLP. Results show that accurate and parsimonious MLP models can be developed for flow estimation based on HR using the new method. Therefore, the study presents the hydrological community with improved neural networks tools based on HR to estimate flows in ungauged rivers for more effective water management. Key words river flows; hydrological regionalisation; neural networks; network pruning; New Zealand Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 214-220 Water resource planning and management using motivated machine learning JANUSZ STARZYK School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Ohio University, Athens, Ohio 45701, USA starzykj@ohio.edu Abstract Water resources planning and management require problem resolution and optimized use of resources. Since many objectives in water management are conflicting, it is hard to devise one optimum strategy. A simulation tool capable of optimized multi-objective analysis to satisfy a multiplicity of goals is needed to support water decision making. This paper suggests an integrated modelling framework to assist with time consuming and difficult tasks of decision making by water management practitioners and to harmonize economic uses of water resources. Motivated machine learning, presented in this paper, supports intelligent decision-making processes in dynamically changing environments and could be used to consider alternative water management policies. Motivated learning systems learn to properly control the environment with competing goals. They provide a natural support for multi-objective decision making in an active search for balance between conflicting situations and adverse environmental conditions. A case study of optimized machine learning water management decisions is presented. Key words multi-objective analysis; water management; dynamic environments; motivated learning; competing goals; goal creation Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 223-225 Challenges of sustainable management of the surface water resources in the Murray-Darling Basin Akhtar Abbas & Frank Walker Murray-Darling Basin Authority, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia akhtar.abbas@mdba.gov.au Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 226-227 Maximising hydro-power generation within a multi-user water supply system L. Bapela1, B. Mwaka1, R. Cai1 & H. G. Maré2 1 Department of Water Affairs and Forestry, South Africa nepfumbadam@dwa.gov.za 2 WRP Consulting Engineers (Pty) Ltd, South Africa Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 228-230 What is a real value of water used for irrigation? Sergei Schreider & Jonathan Plummer School of Mathematical and Geospatial Sciences, Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology (RMIT University), GPO Box 2476, Melbourne, Victoria 3001, Australia sergei.schreider@rmit.edu.au Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 233-236 Etude expérimentale des déformations du lit d’un canal à fond mobile: phénomène de sédimentation et érosion CHERIF El AMINE Laboratoire d’Hydrologie et gestion des Ressources en Eau – HYDRE, Department of Hydraulics, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Architecture, University of Sciences and the Technology of Oran, BP 1505, El-Mnaouer, Oran 31000, Algeria cherif_ea@yahoo.fr Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 237-238 Hydrology–climate–human health: a hydroclimatological approach to understand cholera transmission in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa ALI S. AKANDA1, ANTARPREET S. JUTLA1 & SHAFIQUL ISLAM1,2 1 WE REASoN (Water and Environmental Research, Education, & Actionable Solutions Network), Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Tufts University, Medford, Massachusetts, USA ali.akanda@tufts.edu 2 Water Diplomacy, The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University, Massachusetts, USA Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 239-240 Complex assessment of particle-bound radionuclide redistribution in the Plava River basin (Central European Russia) V. R. Belyaev1, N. N. Ivanova1, O. Evrard2, M. V. Markelov1, E. N. Shamshurina1, P. Bonte2 & I. Lefevre2 1 Laboratory of Soil Erosion and Fluvial Processes, Faculty of Geography, Moscow 119991, Russia valdemar_b@rambler.ru 2 LSCE-IPSL, Orme des Merisiers, F-91191, Gif-sur-Yvette, France Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 241-243 Satellite remote sensing-based forecasting of cholera outbreaks in the Bengal Delta Antarpreet S. Jutla1, Ali S. Akanda1 & Shafiqul Islam1,2 1 WE REASoN (Water and Environmental Research, Education, and Actionable Solutions Network), Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Tufts University, Medford, Massachusetts 02155, USA antarpreet.jutla@tufts.edu 2 Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University, Medford, Massachusetts 02155, USA Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 244-245 Using a multi-component indicator to identify major variables controlling the health of water resources R. Kristiana, L. C. Vilhena, G. Begg, J. P. Antenucci & J. Imberger The Centre for Water Research, The University of Western Australia, Western Australia, Australia kristian@cwr.uwa.edu.au Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 246-247 Excessive fluoride in groundwaters of River Sindhanur catchment, South India: a case study from a hard-rock sub-basin with contrasting features TEJASWAI K. LAKKUNDI Department of Studies in Geology, Karnatak University, Dharwad 580 003, India tejaswi_sh@yahoo.co.uk Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 248-250 Integrated geological, geoelectrical and geochemical studies for groundwater resource evaluation in coastal areas of Sagar Island region, West Bengal, India RANJIT KUMAR MAJUMDAR & DEBABRATA DAS Department of Geological Sciences, Jadavpur University, Kolkata 700 032, India ranjit_mazumdar2000@yahoo.co.in Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 251-252 The wicked problem of suspended sediment profiles: a choice criterion Mira SABAT, Abdelali TERFOUS, Abdellah GHENAIM & Jean Bernard POULET LGeCo – ERESA, INSA of Strasbourg, 24 Boulevard de la Victoire, F-67084 Strasbourg Cedex, France mira.sabat@insa-strasbourg.fr Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 253-255 Simulation of wicked water migration in shallow groundwater Seyed Reza Saghravani1, Sa’ari Mustapha1, Shaharin Ibrahim2 & Seyed Fazlolah Saghravani3 1 Department of Chemical and Environmental Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universiti Putra Malaysia, 43400 UPM Serdang, Selangor Darul Ehsan, Malaysia rezasaghravani@gmail.com 2 Department of Environmental Sciences, Faculty of Environmental Studies, Universiti Putra Malaysia, 43400 UPM Serdang, Selangor Darul Ehsan, Malaysia 3 Department of Civil Engineering, Shahrood University of Technology, Shahrood, Semnan Province, Iran Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 256-257 Large dams as purification systems for toxic PCDD/PCDF and dl-PCB congeners Magdalena Urbaniak1,2 & Maciej Zalewski1,2 1 International Institute PAS, European Regional Centre for Ecohydrology, u/a UNESCO, Tylna 3, 90-364 Lodz, Poland m.urbaniak@unesco.lodz.pl 2 Department of Applied Ecology, University of Lodz, Banacha 12/16, 90-237 Lodz, Poland Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 258-260 Climate change and water management adaptation for China WANG Xiao-jun1, ZHANG Jian-yun1, WANG Guo-qing2, LIU Cui-shan2 & BAO Zhen-xin2 1 Research Centre for Climate Change, Ministry of Water Resources, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, China nhri501@yahoo.com.cn 2 Department of Hydrology and Water Resources, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, China Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 263 Flood hazards in Nigerian cities, the Kaduna case study A. W. Alayande & O. A. Bamgboye National Water Resources Institute, PMB 2309, Kaduna. Nigeria walayande@yahoo.co.uk Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 264-265 Groundwater flooding in Ukraine: what kind of management does it require? OLEKSANDR CHEBANOV1 & IRYNA KONOPLYA2 1 SCIM UkrWogGeo, 6 Shevchenko Vul., Kharkiv, 61200 Ukraine chebanov@uwodgeo.org.ua 2 UkrNIINTIZ, 38 Lenina Pr., Kharkiv, 61166 Ukraine Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 266-267 The role of science in solving wicked water problems – examples from groundwater management in emergency contexts Lucy Lytton1 & Paul Bolger2 1GPO Box 1801, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia lucylytton@onetel.com 2 GHD Pty Ltd, 180 Lonsdale St, Melbourne, Victoria 3000, Australia Hydrocomplexity: New Tools for Solving Wicked Water Problems Kovacs Colloquium, July 2010 (IAHS Publ. 338, 2010), 268-270 Influence of large water reservoir construction and filling on dynamics of Earth crust local tilts T. MATCHARASHVILI, T. CHELIDZE, V. ABASHIDZE, N. ZHUKOVA, E. MEPHARIDZE & T. KOBAKHIDZE M. Nodia Institute of Geophysics, 1, Alexidze str., 0171, Tbilisi, Georgia matcharashvili@gtu.ge Yüklə 214,71 Kb. Dostları ilə paylaş:
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