Medical Training Review Panel 19th Report



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  • Trends

Attrition Rates


The attrition rates report on the number of students that have permanently ceased candidature in a medical degree but do not include students who have deferred study or transferred to other medical schools.

In 2014, of 3,185 only 68 (2.1%) commencing domestic students (27 male and 41 female students) discontinued their medical degree in the first year (Table 2.14).



Table 2.14: Commencing domestic medical students: Attrition rates, 2014

University

Males

Females

Total

Proportion of total commencing domestic students who ceased candidature (%)




New South Wales

Newcastle/UNE

4

3

7

10.3

Notre Dame Sydney

1

0

1

1.5

Sydney

3

0

3

4.4

UNSW

1

2

3

4.4

UWS

1

1

2

2.9

Wollongong

1

0

1

1.5

Total NSW

11

6

17

25.0




Victoria

Deakin

1

4

5

7.4

Melbourne MD

4

4

8

11.8

Monash PG

2

0

2

2.9

Monash UG

1

6

7

10.3

Total VIC

8

14

22

32.4




Queensland

Bond

1

1

2

2.9

Griffith

3

3

6

8.8

Queensland

1

2

3

4.4

James Cook

1

6

7

10.3

Total QLD

6

12

18

26.5




Western Australia

Notre Dame Fremantle

0

0

0

0

UWA MD

2

2

4

5.9

UWA PG

0

0

0

0

UWA UG

0

0

0

0

Total WA

2

2

4

5.9




South Australia

Adelaide

0

2

2

2.9

Flinders

0

3

3

4.4

Total SA

0

5

5

7.4




Tasmania

Tasmania

0

0

0

0




Australian Capital Territory

ANU

0

2

2

2.9

Total

27

41

68

100.0

UG - undergraduate PG - postgraduate MD – Doctor of Medicine

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

In 2014, a total of 11 out of 552 (2%) commencing international students (6 male and 5 female students) discontinued their medical degree in the first year (Table 2.15).

Table 2.15: Commencing international medical students: Attrition rates, 2014



University(a)

Males

Females

Total

Proportion of total commencing international students who ceased candidature (%)




New South Wales

Newcastle/UNE

0

0

0

0

Notre Dame Sydney

0

0

0

0

Sydney

1

0

1

9.1

UNSW

2

1

3

27.3

UWS

0

0

0

0

Wollongong

0

0

0

0

Total NSW

3

1

4

36.4




Victoria

Deakin

0

0

0

0

Melbourne MD

0

1

1

9.1

Monash PG

0

0

0

0

Monash UG

0

0

0

0

Total VIC

0

1

1

9.1




Queensland

Bond

0

0

0

0

Griffith

0

0

0

0

Queensland

1

0

1

9.1

James Cook

0

1

1

9.1

Total QLD

1

1

2

18.2




Western Australia

Notre Dame Fremantle

0

0

0

0

UWA MD

0

0

0

0

UWA PG

0

0

0

0

UWA UG

0

0

0

0

Total WA

0

0

0

0




South Australia

Adelaide

2

1

3

27.3

Flinders

0

0

0

0

Total SA

2

1

3

27.3




Tasmania

Tasmania

0

1

1

9.1




Australian Capital Territory

ANU

0

0

0

0

Total

6

5

11

100.0

UG - undergraduate PG - postgraduate MD – Doctor of Medicine

  1. Excludes all offshore programs, including UQ Ochsner and Monash Malaysia.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

The attrition numbers and proportions over the period 2008-2014 have differed for international and domestic students (Table 2.16). A higher proportion of commencing domestic students have discontinued their degree compared with commencing international students. The changes in female attrition rates have also varied between the years reported.



Table 2.16: Commencing medical students: Attrition rates, 2008-2014

Student type(a)

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Change 2008-2014

(%)

Domestic

75

53

70

63

84

48

68

-9.3

Proportion domestic (%)

78.1

71.6

78.7

70.8

83.2

73.8

86.1

10.2

Proportion female (%)

54.7

64.2

48.6

42.9

53.6

52.1

60.3

10.2

International

21

21

19

26

17

17

11

-47.6

Proportion international (%)

21.9

28.4

21.3

29.2

16.8

26.2

13.9

-36.3

Proportion females (%)

42.9

52.4

36.8

42.3

29.4

47.1

45.5

6.0

Total

96

74

89

89

101

65

79

-17.7

Annual change




-22

15

0

12

-36

14




Annual change (%)




-22.9

20.3

0

13.5

-35.6

21.5




  1. Attrition rates report on the number of students that have permanently ceased candidature in a medical degree. This does not include students who have deferred study or transferred to other medical schools.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

Attrition rates for medical courses are anticipated to be relatively low when compared to other courses and this is relevant to numbers of both commencing and continuing students. However, the highest attrition from a medical course occurs at the period of commencing studies.

The next set of tables provides information about attrition rates for continuing students. A continuing student is a student enrolled in any year of a medical program other than commencing.

In 2014, 118 of 11,119 (1.1%) continuing domestic students (59 male and 59 female students) discontinued their medical degree beyond the commencing period (Table 2.17).



Table 2.17: Continuing domestic medical students: Attrition rates, 2014

University

Males

Females

Total

Proportion of total continuing

domestic students who ceased candidature (%)




New South Wales

Newcastle/UNE

2

3

5

4.2

Notre Dame Sydney

1

1

2

1.7

Sydney

6

1

7

5.9

UNSW

5

5

10

8.5

UWS

1

1

2

1.7

Wollongong

0

0

0

0

Total NSW

15

11

26

22.0




Victoria

Deakin

2

4

6

5.1

Melbourne MD

1

4

5

4.2

Melbourne UG

0

0

0

0

Monash PG

2

0

2

1.7

Monash UG

1

3

4

3.4

Total VIC

6

11

17

14.4




Queensland

Bond

1

0

1

0.8

Griffith

1

2

3

2.5

Queensland

1

3

4

3.4

James Cook

6

5

11

9.3

Total QLD

9

10

19

16.1




Western Australia

Notre Dame Fremantle

2

2

4

3.4

UWA MD

0

0

0

0

UWA PG

1

2

3

2.5

UWA UG

3

4

7

5.9

Total WA

6

8

14

11.9




South Australia

Adelaide

22

17

39

33.1

Flinders

1

1

2

1.7

Total SA

23

18

41

34.7




Tasmania

Tasmania

0

0

0

0




Australian Capital Territory

ANU

0

1

1

0.8

Total

59

59

118

100.0

UG - undergraduate PG - postgraduate MD – Doctor of Medicine

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

In comparison to domestic students, 26 of 1,901 (1.4%) continuing international students (15 male and 11 female students) discontinued their medical degree beyond the commencing period in 2014 (Table 2.18).

Table 2.18: Continuing international medical students: Attrition rates, 2014



University(a)

Males

Females

Total

Proportion of total continuing

international students who ceased candidature (%)




New South Wales

Newcastle/UNE

0

1

1

3.8

Notre Dame Sydney

0

0

0

0

Sydney

2

3

5

19.2

UNSW

4

2

6

23.1

UWS

1

1

2

7.7

Wollongong

0

0

0

0

Total NSW

7

7

14

53.8




Victoria

Deakin

0

0

0

0

Melbourne MD

0

0

0

0

Monash PG

0

0

0

0

Monash UG

0

0

0

0

Total VIC

0

0

0

0




Queensland

Bond

0

0

0

0

Griffith

0

0

0

0

Queensland

0

0

0

0

James Cook

1

0

1

3.8

Total QLD

1

0

1

3.8




Western Australia

Notre Dame Fremantle

0

0

0

0

UWA MD

0

0

0

0

UWA PG

1

0

1

3.8

UWA UG

4

2

6

23.1

Total WA

5

2

7

26.9




South Australia

Adelaide

1

1

2

7.7

Flinders

1

1

2

7.7

Total SA

2

2

4

15.4




Tasmania

Tasmania

0

0

0

0




Australian Capital Territory

ANU

0

0

0

0

Total

15

11

26

100.0

UG - undergraduate PG - postgraduate MD – Doctor of Medicine

  1. Excludes all offshore programs, including UQ Ochsner and Monash Malaysia.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

The attrition numbers for continuing medical students over the period 2008-2014 also changed between the years (Table 2.19). A higher proportion of continuing domestic students discontinued their degree compared with continuing international students. The changes in female attrition rates also varied between the years reported.



Table 2.19: Continuing medical students: Attrition rates, 2008-2014

Student type(a)

 

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Change
2008-2014


(%)

Domestic




75

82

75

81

110

65

118

57.3

Proportion domestic (%)

87.2

77.4

80.6

77.1

79.7

71.4

81.9

-6.0

Proportion female (%)

50.7

48.8

54.7

64.2

50.0

58.5

50.0

-1.4

International




11

24

18

24

28

26

26

136.4

Proportion international (%)

12.8

22.6

19.4

22.9

20.3

28.6

18.1

41.2

Proportion females (%)

36.4

50.0

38.9

33.3

50.0

26.9

42.3

16.2

Total(b)




86

106

93

105

138

91

144

67.4

Annual change







20

-13

12

33

-47

53




Annual change (%)







23.3

-12.3

12.9

31.4

-34.1

58.2




  1. Continuing student is a student enrolled in any year of a medical program other than commencing.

  2. Attrition rates report on the number of students that have permanently ceased candidature in a medical degree. This does not include students who have deferred study or transferred to other Medical Schools.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

Trends


The number of commencing medical students remained relatively steady over the last five years, increasing from 3,770 in 2011 to 3,777 in 2015 (Table 2.20).

The proportion of female domestic and international students commencing medical studies also remained relatively stable over the last five years – around half the number of all commencing medical students were females.



Table 2.20: Commencing medical students: Domestic, international and proportion of females, 2011-2015

Student type(a)

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Domestic

3,241

3,035

3,033

3,185

3,210

Proportion female (%)

50.9

48.1

51.2

52.3

51.9

International(b),(c)

529

651

636

552

567

Proportion female (%)

47.6

47.5

45.6

50.4

48.9

Total

3,770

3,686

3,669

3,737

3,777

Annual change

 

-84

-17

68

40

Annual change (%)

 

-2.2

-0.5

1.9

1.1

  1. Based on the commencing year of the medical program.

  2. International students are those studying onshore in Australia as private or sponsored students who are not Australian or New Zealand citizens or permanent residents.

  3. Excludes all offshore programs, including UQ Ochsner and Monash Malaysia.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

Projections suggest that 3,768 medical students will commence their studies in Australian universities in 2016 (Table 2.21). Of these, 3,173 (84.2%) are expected to be domestic students and 595 (15.8%) international students.



Table 2.21: Commencing medical student projections, 2016

University(a)

Domestic

International(b)

Total

Adelaide

121

28

149

ANU

90

8

98

Bond

96

-

96

Deakin

130

-

130

Flinders

135

20

155

Griffith

150

20

170

James Cook

181

27

208

Melbourne

306

45

351

Monash

330

77

407

Newcastle/UNE

170

32

202

Notre Dame Sydney

120

-

120

Notre Dame Fremantle

110

-

110

Queensland

320

90

410

Sydney

228

80

308

Tasmania

100

20

120

UNSW

198

80

278

UWA

209

30

239

UWS

105

26

131

Wollongong

74

12

86

Total

3,173

595

3,768

  1. These numbers are projections only and are subject to change.

  2. Excludes all offshore programs, including UQ Ochsner and Monash Malaysia.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

Between 2011 and 2015, there was a slight increase of 468 students (2.8%) of the total number of medical students studying in Australian universities (Table 2.22). In this period, the number of domestic students increased by only 3.4% to 14,424 students, whereas the number of international students remained stable.



Table 2.22: Medical students: Domestic, international and proportion of females, 2011-2015

Student type(a)

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Domestic

13,956

14,177

14,267

14,384

14,424

Proportion female (%)

53.0

51.5

51.2

51.3

51.6

Annual change (%)

7.8

1.6

0.6

0.8

0.3

International(b)

2,535

2,691

2,727

2,453

2,535

Proportion female (%)

49.1

48.7

47.3

48.8

48.0

Annual change (%)

3.4

6.2

1.3

-10.0

3.3

Total

16,491

16,868

16,994

16,837

16,959

Annual change

 

377

126

-157

122

Annual change (%)

 

2.3

0.7

-0.9

0.7

  1. Data covers all years of study.

  2. From 2009 to 2013 data include the UQ Ochsner cohort. From 2014 data exclude all offshore programs, including UQ Ochsner and Monash Malaysia.

Source: Medical Deans Australia and New Zealand Inc

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