4. Misol ishlash
Mintaqalar bo‘yicha yalpi hududiy mahsulot, sanoat, qishloq xo‘jaligi va xizmatlar sohasida yaratilgan yalpi mahsulot to‘g‘risida malumotlar berilgan.2022-(yanvar-setyabr)
Regressiya tenglamasi uchun normal tenglamalar sistemasi
2022 -йил
|
Ялпи ҳудудий маҳсулот (млрд сўмда), У
|
Саноат маҳсулоти,
|
Қишлоқ хўжалиги,
|
Хизматлар соҳаси,
|
Қорақалпоғистон Республикаси
|
19 191,1
|
6798,9
|
4759,0
|
7 633,2
|
Андижон
|
35 946,4
|
10598,0
|
14272,3
|
11 076,1
|
Бухоро
|
31 076,1
|
8221,8
|
13382,9
|
9 471,4
|
Жиззах
|
18 277,3
|
3680,5
|
9087,4
|
5 509,4
|
Қашқадарё
|
34 401,0
|
8209,4
|
13782,5
|
12 409,1
|
Навоий
|
48 719,6
|
36116,6
|
6473,3
|
6 129,7
|
Наманган
|
28 158,2
|
6445,6
|
10882,5
|
10 830,1
|
Самарқанд
|
42 332,8
|
9606,1
|
17182,0
|
15 544,7
|
Сурҳондарё
|
24 641,8
|
3789,7
|
11546,0
|
9 306,1
|
Сирдарё
|
12 372,6
|
3959,2
|
4752,1
|
3 661,3
|
Тошкент
|
64 657,3
|
34794,2
|
14043,7
|
15 819,4
|
Фарғона
|
38 413,0
|
10321,8
|
13779,8
|
14 311,4
|
Хоразм
|
21 925,3
|
4785,8
|
9542,0
|
7 597,5
|
Тошкент ш.
|
97 934,2
|
43133,3
|
0
|
54800,9
|
Жами:
|
518 046,7
|
190460,9
|
143485,5
|
184 100,3
|
Ўртача:
|
37003,3
|
13604,35
|
10248,96429
|
13150,02143
|
Jadvalda keltirilgan ma’lumotlarga asosan regressiya tenglamasini aniqlang
29-variant
1-topshiriq. 1.Qaysi mezon yordamida dinamika qatorlarda avtokorrelyasiya mavjudligi tekshiriladi va formulasini yozing __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
2. Vaqtli qatorlar tahlilida hisoblanadigan ko’rsatkichlarni yozing_____________________________________________
3. Ishlab chiqarish funksiyalari matematik tasvirlash tipiga ko’ra qanday turlarga bo’linadi_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________4. Elastiklik koeffitsenti va determinasiya koeffitsenti formulalarini yozing__________________________________________________ ________________________________________________________ _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
5.Malinvo - ekonometrikaga qanday ta’rif bergan _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
2-topshiriq. Prognozlash usullari. Trendlarni ekstrapolyatsiya usuli mavzusi bo‘yicha referat yozish (qo’lyozma shaklda kamida 15 varaq)
3-topshiriq. Berilgan testlarni ishlash
1.
to’g’ri chiziqli
parabola
giperbola
ko’rsatkichli
2.Analitik ifodalanishiga qarab bog’lanish qaysi ko’rinishda bo’ladi?
funksional va korrelyatsion
to’g’ri chiziqli va egri chiziqli
to’q’ri va teskari
analitik va jadvalli
3.Regressiya tenglamalaridagi X qaysi ko’rsatkichni bildiradi?
omil belgi
natijaviy belgi
ozod had
regressiya tenglamasining koeffitsientini
4.Korrelyatsiya koeffitsientining qiymati qaysi oraliqda o’zgaradi ?
0 dan 1gacha
1dan cheksizgacha
-1 dan +1 gacha
0 dan cheksizgacha
5.Ekonometrika fanining asoslarini qaysi olim ishlab chiqqan?
a. S.Fisher
b. E.Malenvo
c. Robert Frish
d. S.Grilixes
4. Misol ishlash
Mintaqalar bo‘yicha yalpi hududiy mahsulot, sanoat, qishloq xo‘jaligi va xizmatlar sohasida yaratilgan yalpi mahsulot to‘g‘risida malumotlar berilgan. 2022 (yanvar-setyabr)
Regressiya tenglamasi uchun normal tenglamalar sistemasi
2022 -йил
|
Ялпи ҳудудий маҳсулот (млрд сўмда), У
|
Саноат маҳсулоти,
|
Қишлоқ хўжалиги,
|
Хизматлар соҳаси,
|
Qoraqalpog`iston Respublikasi
|
36 078 279,5
|
16 908 972,6
|
8 329 734,8
|
10 839 572,1
|
Andijon
|
82 142 352,6
|
41 279 829,2
|
24 807 846,8
|
16 054 676,6
|
Buxoro
|
62 091 924,4
|
24 906 573,9
|
23 223 752,9
|
13 961 597,6
|
Jizzax
|
34 214 872,5
|
10 741 969,7
|
15 746 882,5
|
7 726 020,3
|
Qashqadaryo
|
61 811 672,4
|
21 134 500,3
|
23 372 142,3
|
17 305 029,8
|
Navoiy
|
88 365 965,7
|
68 088 379,1
|
11 237 351,8
|
9 040 234,8
|
Namangan
|
51 534 657,0
|
17 585 937,3
|
18 713 201,8
|
15 235 517,9
|
Samarqand
|
79 839 552,3
|
27 692 492,0
|
30 024 554,6
|
22 122 505,7
|
Surxondaryo
|
42 912 097,5
|
10 183 324,9
|
19 681 445,6
|
13 047 327,0
|
Sirdaryo
|
24 056 083,6
|
10 630 361,8
|
8 328 420,1
|
5 097 301,7
|
Toshkent
|
124 640 358,6
|
76 942 396,4
|
24 595 762,2
|
23 102 200,0
|
Farg`ona
|
74 332 606,5
|
29 654 281,6
|
24 118 969,7
|
20 559 355,2
|
Xorazm
|
44 140 750,7
|
17 076 144,6
|
16 466 687,3
|
10 597 918,8
|
Toshkent.sh
|
186 646 899,1
|
103 425 891,2
|
0,0
|
83 221 007,9
|
Jami:
|
|
|
|
|
O’rtacha:
|
|
|
|
|
Jadvalda keltirilgan ma’lumotlarga asosan regressiya tenglamasini aniqlang
30-variant
1-topshiriq.
1.Qaysi mezon yordamida dinamika qatorlarda avtokorrelyasiya mavjudligi tekshiriladi va formulasini yozing __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
2. Vaqtli qatorlar tahlilida hisoblanadigan ko’rsatkichlarni yozing_____________________________________________
3. Ishlab chiqarish funksiyalari matematik tasvirlash tipiga ko’ra qanday yurlarga bo’linadi___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
4.Ekonometrik modellashtirishning bosqichlarini yozing______________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
5.Ko’rsatkichli regressiya tenglamasining EKKUni yozing____________ _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
2-topshiriq. Eng kichik kvadratlar usulining baholash xususiyatlari mavzusi bo‘yicha referat yozish (qo’lyozma shaklda kamida 15 varaq)
3-topshiriq. Quyidagi atamalarga sharh bering.
1.Ekonometrika tushunchasining mazmuni______________________________ _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
2.Funksional bog’lanish ______________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
3.Vaqtli qatorlar______________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
4.Trend_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
5.Avtokorrelyasiya__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
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