The unece organizes with the financial support of the World Bank

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The UNECE organizes with the financial support of the World Bank

  • The UNECE organizes with the financial support of the World Bank

  • For the Central Asian and other CIS Countries

  • The program consists of training workshops and study visits

  • Builds on the international recommendations

    • Training and exercises will be provided
    • Discusses problems and possible solutions
    • Exchange of experiences


14-17 March, 2011 (Astana, Kazakhstan)

  • 14-17 March, 2011 (Astana, Kazakhstan)

  • Topics covered:

  • Participants in this Workshop to participate in the next workshop on seasonal adjustment



2011 (Istanbul, Turkey)

  • 2011 (Istanbul, Turkey)

  • Topics covered:

    • Calculation of elementary and higher-level indices
    • Coverage of goods and services
    • Treatment of missing prices and their replacements
    • Seasonal items
    • Adjustment for quality changes
  • Will be based on the international Consumer Price Indices Manual



2011 (Kiev, Ukraine)

  • 2011 (Kiev, Ukraine)

  • Topics covered:

    • Implementation issues of the 2008 SNA
    • Discussion of the problematic areas and priority setting
    • Support countries to establish implementation plans
    • Development needs of both national accounts and the related primary statistics
    • Building of networks of experts in SNA and NA


2012 (Istanbul, Turkey)

  • 2012 (Istanbul, Turkey)

  • Topics covered:

    • Tackle the methodological and practical issues of seasonal adjustment
    • Seasonal adjustment of problematic time series
    • Analyses of the quality of seasonal adjustment
    • Discuss countries’ experiences and problems


Session 1

  • Session 1

  • Workshop Introduction

  • Session 2

  • The Aim of STS – User view and Current Developments

    • General recommendations on STS
    • Why STS matters? User view on STS


Session 3

  • Session 3

  • STS Production Methodology

    • STS compilation with multiple data sources
    • Case studies from countries
  • Session 4

  • An Introduction to Seasonality and Seasonal Adjustment

    • Components of time series, seasonality and preconditions for seasonal adjustment
    • Seasonal adjustment as a process
    • 1. Exercise: Getting started


Session 5

  • Session 5

  • Seasonal Adjustment Practice

    • Why seasonally adjust and how?
    • Issues on seasonal adjustment in the EECCA countries
    • Round table: Current state of seasonal adjustment
  • Session 6

  • Pre-treatment of Time Series

    • Pre-treatment practice for seasonal adjustment including calendar adjustment
    • 2. Exercise: Examples of graphical analysis, outlier detection and the effect of calendar adjustment


Session 7

  • Session 7

  • Performing Seasonal Adjustment

    • Model selection, seasonal adjustment and analyzing results
    • 3. Exercise: Step-by-step seasonal adjustment
  • Session 8

  • Going forward with seasonal adjustment

    • Disseminating statistical information on economic development
    • How to release seasonally adjusted data
    • Towards the next workshop & closing


Gain theoretical knowledge and practical skills

  • Gain theoretical knowledge and practical skills

  • To get training and methodological materials

  • Participant Presentation Round!



Challenges & Problems of Short-Term Statistics (STS)

  • Based on the UNECE paper on Short-Term Economic Statistics in the CIS and Western Balkans

  • Carsten Boldsen Hansen

  • Economic Statistics Section, UNECE



Agenda

  • Introduction

  • Availability of STS

  • Publication policy



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