Transitioning Regional Economies



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B Results of the relative adaptive capacity single metric


This appendix contains tables that list the results of the index of adaptive capacity for the functional economic regions (FERs) developed by the Commission. It contains information on each region’s ranking and score. Due to the wide confidence intervals, caution should be exercised when interpreting the results. Detailed information on the Commission’s construction of FERs is in appendix D. Detailed information on the Commission’s construction of the index of relative adaptive capacity is in appendix E.

There are four categories of adaptive capacity.



Most adaptive regions are those whose index value was more than one standard deviation above the mean (10 regions in table B.1).

Above average regions are those above the mean index value and within one standard deviation of the mean (27 regions in table B.2).

Below average regions are those below the mean index value and within one standard deviation of the mean (27 regions in table B.3).

Least adaptive regions are those whose index value was more than one standard deviation below the mean (13 regions in table B.4).

There are 12 FERs not included in the index of adaptive capacity because they lack the relevant data for the analysis (table B.5). Most of the excluded FERs are islands with small populations. As such, the final index was calculated for 77 of the 89 FERs.



A map showing the geographical boundaries of the FERs constructed by the Commission can be found in figure B.1.


Table B.1 Most adaptive regions

Ranking

Region

Region ID

State/territory

Score

90 per cent confidence interval

1

Canberra Region

122

NSW-ACT

2.53

(0.17, 3.08)

2

Greater Melbourne

200

Vic

1.88

(-0.03, 2.18)

3

Greater Sydney

100

NSW-ACT

1.80

(-0.36, 2.26)

4

Greater Perth

500

WA

1.58

(-0.20, 1.93)

5

Geelong

202

Vic

1.40

(0.43, 1.47)

6

Gold Coast

304

Qld

1.25

(-0.32, 1.65)

7

Goulburn - Southern Highlands

121

NSW-ACT

1.22

(0.57, 1.26)

8

Sunshine Coast

307

Qld

1.21

(0.25, 1.36)

9

Cooma

101

NSW-ACT

1.14

(0.65, 1.26)

10

Greater Brisbane

300

Qld

1.03

(-0.44, 1.43)




Source: Productivity Commission estimates.









Table B.2 Above average regions

Ranking

Region

Region ID

State/territory

Score

90 per cent confidence interval

11

Warrnambool

210

Vic

0.83

(0.13, 1.30)

12

South Wheatbelt

513

WA

0.83

(0.07, 1.65)

13

Horsham

209

Vic

0.80

(-0.23, 1.86)

14

Bunbury - Busselton

501

WA

0.77

(0.20, 0.90)

15

Greater Adelaide

400

SA

0.76

(-0.09, 1.09)

16

Bendigo

203

Vic

0.71

(0.20, 0.82)

17

Central East Wheatbelt

512

WA

0.70

(-0.02, 1.57)

18

Barossa

401

SA

0.70

(0.03, 1.07)

19

Albany

510

WA

0.67

(0.20, 0.78)

20

Manjimup

502

WA

0.62

(-0.05, 1.27)

21

Greater Hobart

600

Tas

0.61

(0.03, 0.82)

22

Greater Darwin

700

NT

0.57

(-1.48, 1.80)

23

Shepparton - Wodonga

204

Vic

0.56

(0.01, 0.80)

24

Central Highlands

201

Vic

0.52

(0.01, 0.66)

25

Deniliquin

114

NSW-ACT

0.48

(-0.21, 1.15)

26

Albury

113

NSW-ACT

0.42

(0.03, 0.56)

27

Esperance

503

WA

0.40

(-0.05, 0.88)

28

Illawarra - Nowra

109

NSW-ACT

0.40

(-0.27, 0.66)

29

Central West Wheatbelt

511

WA

0.39

(-0.10, 0.93)

30

Wagga Wagga - Young

120

NSW-ACT

0.35

(-0.08, 0.57)

31

Latrobe

207

Vic

0.34

(-0.19, 0.65)

32

Hunter

117

NSW-ACT

0.22

(-0.34, 0.48)

33

Richmond - Tweed

118

NSW-ACT

0.20

(-0.30, 0.39)

34

South Coast NSW

102

NSW-ACT

0.19

(-0.55, 0.61)

35

Bathurst - Orange

103

NSW-ACT

0.15

(-0.09, 0.29)

36

Limestone Coast

409

SA

0.10

(-0.60, 0.97)

37

East Gippsland

205

Vic

0.09

(-0.70, 0.95)




Source: Productivity Commission estimates.









Table B.3 Below average regions

Ranking

Region

Region ID

State/territory

Score

90 per cent confidence interval

38

Yorke Peninsula

402

SA

0.00

(-0.97, 1.27)

39

South Tasmania

604

Tas

0.00

(-0.64, 0.59)

40

Karratha

509

WA

-0.03

(-2.05, 2.40)

41

Darling Downs - South West QLD

302

Qld

-0.04

(-0.24, 0.23)

42

Longreach

306

Qld

-0.08

(-0.49, 0.76)

43

Eyre Peninsula

404

SA

-0.08

(-0.57, 0.55)

44

Mudgee

104

NSW-ACT

-0.11

(-0.45, 0.28)

45

Griffith

119

NSW-ACT

-0.13

(-0.36, 0.23)

46

Armidale - Moree

115

NSW-ACT

-0.16

(-0.63, 0.56)

47

Goldfields

505

WA

-0.17

(-1.19, 1.20)

48

Mildura

208

Vic

-0.19

(-0.54, 0.16)

49

Murray Bridge

407

SA

-0.21

(-1.02, 0.73)

50

Launceston - North East Tasmania

601

Tas

-0.21

(-0.64, 0.23)

51

Parkes - Cobar

107

NSW-ACT

-0.23

(-0.53, 0.54)

52

Port Hedland - Newman

508

WA

-0.24

(-2.57, 2.65)

53

Tamworth

116

NSW-ACT

-0.26

(-0.47, 0.12)

54

Townsville - Mt Isa

308

Qld

-0.30

(-0.93, 0.36)

55

Gladstone

303

Qld

-0.31

(-0.88, 0.31)

56

Mackay

305

Qld

-0.31

(-0.59, 0.21)

57

Mid West

507

WA

-0.31

(-0.59, 0.21)

58

Coffs Harbour - Grafton

105

NSW-ACT

-0.41

(-0.89, 0.04)

59

Port Macquarie

111

NSW-ACT

-0.44

(-1.00, 0.08)

60

Dubbo

106

NSW-ACT

-0.47

(-0.59, -0.01)

61

Far North QLD

301

Qld

-0.55

(-0.90, -0.05)

62

Gascoyne

504

WA

-0.67

(-1.34, 0.59)

63

Loxton

410

SA

-0.79

(-1.30, 0.32)

64

Taree

110

NSW-ACT

-0.80

(-1.54, 0.21)




Source: Productivity Commission estimates.









Table B.4 Least adaptive regions

Ranking

Region

Region ID

State/territory

Score

90 per cent confidence interval

65

West Tasmania

605

Tas

-1.03

(-1.46, 0.11)

66

East Tasmania

602

Tas

-1.04

(-1.75, 0.49)

67

Kimberley

506

WA

-1.13

(-1.89, 0.57)

68

Bundaberg

309

Qld

-1.20

(-1.65, -0.21)

69

Whyalla - West Coast SA

403

SA

-1.21

(-1.44, -0.17)

70

Far North SA

406

SA

-1.26

(-1.40, -0.23)

71

Central Tasmania

603

Tas

-1.36

(-1.98, 0.31)

72

Gympie

310

Qld

-1.37

(-1.99, -0.24)

73

Central Australia

701

NT

-1.40

(-2.36, 0.30)

74

Far West NSW - Lower Murray

108

NSW-ACT

-1.40

(-1.53, -0.30)

75

Katherine

708

NT

-2.42

(-2.94, -0.66)

76

Daly

703

NT

-2.90

(-3.41, -1.02)

77

Barkly

702

NT

-3.20

(-3.81, -1.21)




Source: Productivity Commission estimates.









Table B.5 Regions excluded from the analysis

Ranking

Region

Region ID

State/territory

Score

90 per cent confidence interval

na

Lord Howe Island

112

NSW-ACT

na

na

na

French Island

206

Vic

na

na

na

APY Lands

405

SA

na

na

na

Kangaroo Island

408

SA

na

na

na

King Island

606

Tas

na

na

na

Tiwi Islands

704

NT

na

na

na

West Arnhem

705

NT

na

na

na

Anindilyakwa

706

NT

na

na

na

East Arnhem

707

NT

na

na

na

Christmas Island

801

Other

na

na

na

Cocos Island

802

Other

na

na

na

Norfolk Island

803

Other

na

na




na Not applicable

Source: Productivity Commission estimates.







Figure B.1 Functional economic regionsa

the figure is a map of australia that outlines the boundaries of the functional economic regions and shows the region\'s id number used by the commission.



a Numbers correspond to Region ID.

Source: Productivity Commission estimates.










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