B Results of the relative adaptive capacity single metric
This appendix contains tables that list the results of the index of adaptive capacity for the functional economic regions (FERs) developed by the Commission. It contains information on each region’s ranking and score. Due to the wide confidence intervals, caution should be exercised when interpreting the results. Detailed information on the Commission’s construction of FERs is in appendix D. Detailed information on the Commission’s construction of the index of relative adaptive capacity is in appendix E.
There are four categories of adaptive capacity.
Most adaptive regions are those whose index value was more than one standard deviation above the mean (10 regions in table B.1).
Above average regions are those above the mean index value and within one standard deviation of the mean (27 regions in table B.2).
Below average regions are those below the mean index value and within one standard deviation of the mean (27 regions in table B.3).
Least adaptive regions are those whose index value was more than one standard deviation below the mean (13 regions in table B.4).
There are 12 FERs not included in the index of adaptive capacity because they lack the relevant data for the analysis (table B.5). Most of the excluded FERs are islands with small populations. As such, the final index was calculated for 77 of the 89 FERs.
A map showing the geographical boundaries of the FERs constructed by the Commission can be found in figure B.1.
Table B.1 Most adaptive regions
|
Ranking
|
Region
|
Region ID
|
State/territory
|
Score
|
90 per cent confidence interval
|
1
|
Canberra Region
|
122
|
NSW-ACT
|
2.53
|
(0.17, 3.08)
|
2
|
Greater Melbourne
|
200
|
Vic
|
1.88
|
(-0.03, 2.18)
|
3
|
Greater Sydney
|
100
|
NSW-ACT
|
1.80
|
(-0.36, 2.26)
|
4
|
Greater Perth
|
500
|
WA
|
1.58
|
(-0.20, 1.93)
|
5
|
Geelong
|
202
|
Vic
|
1.40
|
(0.43, 1.47)
|
6
|
Gold Coast
|
304
|
Qld
|
1.25
|
(-0.32, 1.65)
|
7
|
Goulburn - Southern Highlands
|
121
|
NSW-ACT
|
1.22
|
(0.57, 1.26)
|
8
|
Sunshine Coast
|
307
|
Qld
|
1.21
|
(0.25, 1.36)
|
9
|
Cooma
|
101
|
NSW-ACT
|
1.14
|
(0.65, 1.26)
|
10
|
Greater Brisbane
|
300
|
Qld
|
1.03
|
(-0.44, 1.43)
|
|
Source: Productivity Commission estimates.
|
|
|
Table B.2 Above average regions
|
Ranking
|
Region
|
Region ID
|
State/territory
|
Score
|
90 per cent confidence interval
|
11
|
Warrnambool
|
210
|
Vic
|
0.83
|
(0.13, 1.30)
|
12
|
South Wheatbelt
|
513
|
WA
|
0.83
|
(0.07, 1.65)
|
13
|
Horsham
|
209
|
Vic
|
0.80
|
(-0.23, 1.86)
|
14
|
Bunbury - Busselton
|
501
|
WA
|
0.77
|
(0.20, 0.90)
|
15
|
Greater Adelaide
|
400
|
SA
|
0.76
|
(-0.09, 1.09)
|
16
|
Bendigo
|
203
|
Vic
|
0.71
|
(0.20, 0.82)
|
17
|
Central East Wheatbelt
|
512
|
WA
|
0.70
|
(-0.02, 1.57)
|
18
|
Barossa
|
401
|
SA
|
0.70
|
(0.03, 1.07)
|
19
|
Albany
|
510
|
WA
|
0.67
|
(0.20, 0.78)
|
20
|
Manjimup
|
502
|
WA
|
0.62
|
(-0.05, 1.27)
|
21
|
Greater Hobart
|
600
|
Tas
|
0.61
|
(0.03, 0.82)
|
22
|
Greater Darwin
|
700
|
NT
|
0.57
|
(-1.48, 1.80)
|
23
|
Shepparton - Wodonga
|
204
|
Vic
|
0.56
|
(0.01, 0.80)
|
24
|
Central Highlands
|
201
|
Vic
|
0.52
|
(0.01, 0.66)
|
25
|
Deniliquin
|
114
|
NSW-ACT
|
0.48
|
(-0.21, 1.15)
|
26
|
Albury
|
113
|
NSW-ACT
|
0.42
|
(0.03, 0.56)
|
27
|
Esperance
|
503
|
WA
|
0.40
|
(-0.05, 0.88)
|
28
|
Illawarra - Nowra
|
109
|
NSW-ACT
|
0.40
|
(-0.27, 0.66)
|
29
|
Central West Wheatbelt
|
511
|
WA
|
0.39
|
(-0.10, 0.93)
|
30
|
Wagga Wagga - Young
|
120
|
NSW-ACT
|
0.35
|
(-0.08, 0.57)
|
31
|
Latrobe
|
207
|
Vic
|
0.34
|
(-0.19, 0.65)
|
32
|
Hunter
|
117
|
NSW-ACT
|
0.22
|
(-0.34, 0.48)
|
33
|
Richmond - Tweed
|
118
|
NSW-ACT
|
0.20
|
(-0.30, 0.39)
|
34
|
South Coast NSW
|
102
|
NSW-ACT
|
0.19
|
(-0.55, 0.61)
|
35
|
Bathurst - Orange
|
103
|
NSW-ACT
|
0.15
|
(-0.09, 0.29)
|
36
|
Limestone Coast
|
409
|
SA
|
0.10
|
(-0.60, 0.97)
|
37
|
East Gippsland
|
205
|
Vic
|
0.09
|
(-0.70, 0.95)
|
|
Source: Productivity Commission estimates.
|
|
|
Table B.3 Below average regions
|
Ranking
|
Region
|
Region ID
|
State/territory
|
Score
|
90 per cent confidence interval
|
38
|
Yorke Peninsula
|
402
|
SA
|
0.00
|
(-0.97, 1.27)
|
39
|
South Tasmania
|
604
|
Tas
|
0.00
|
(-0.64, 0.59)
|
40
|
Karratha
|
509
|
WA
|
-0.03
|
(-2.05, 2.40)
|
41
|
Darling Downs - South West QLD
|
302
|
Qld
|
-0.04
|
(-0.24, 0.23)
|
42
|
Longreach
|
306
|
Qld
|
-0.08
|
(-0.49, 0.76)
|
43
|
Eyre Peninsula
|
404
|
SA
|
-0.08
|
(-0.57, 0.55)
|
44
|
Mudgee
|
104
|
NSW-ACT
|
-0.11
|
(-0.45, 0.28)
|
45
|
Griffith
|
119
|
NSW-ACT
|
-0.13
|
(-0.36, 0.23)
|
46
|
Armidale - Moree
|
115
|
NSW-ACT
|
-0.16
|
(-0.63, 0.56)
|
47
|
Goldfields
|
505
|
WA
|
-0.17
|
(-1.19, 1.20)
|
48
|
Mildura
|
208
|
Vic
|
-0.19
|
(-0.54, 0.16)
|
49
|
Murray Bridge
|
407
|
SA
|
-0.21
|
(-1.02, 0.73)
|
50
|
Launceston - North East Tasmania
|
601
|
Tas
|
-0.21
|
(-0.64, 0.23)
|
51
|
Parkes - Cobar
|
107
|
NSW-ACT
|
-0.23
|
(-0.53, 0.54)
|
52
|
Port Hedland - Newman
|
508
|
WA
|
-0.24
|
(-2.57, 2.65)
|
53
|
Tamworth
|
116
|
NSW-ACT
|
-0.26
|
(-0.47, 0.12)
|
54
|
Townsville - Mt Isa
|
308
|
Qld
|
-0.30
|
(-0.93, 0.36)
|
55
|
Gladstone
|
303
|
Qld
|
-0.31
|
(-0.88, 0.31)
|
56
|
Mackay
|
305
|
Qld
|
-0.31
|
(-0.59, 0.21)
|
57
|
Mid West
|
507
|
WA
|
-0.31
|
(-0.59, 0.21)
|
58
|
Coffs Harbour - Grafton
|
105
|
NSW-ACT
|
-0.41
|
(-0.89, 0.04)
|
59
|
Port Macquarie
|
111
|
NSW-ACT
|
-0.44
|
(-1.00, 0.08)
|
60
|
Dubbo
|
106
|
NSW-ACT
|
-0.47
|
(-0.59, -0.01)
|
61
|
Far North QLD
|
301
|
Qld
|
-0.55
|
(-0.90, -0.05)
|
62
|
Gascoyne
|
504
|
WA
|
-0.67
|
(-1.34, 0.59)
|
63
|
Loxton
|
410
|
SA
|
-0.79
|
(-1.30, 0.32)
|
64
|
Taree
|
110
|
NSW-ACT
|
-0.80
|
(-1.54, 0.21)
|
|
Source: Productivity Commission estimates.
|
|
|
Table B.4 Least adaptive regions
|
Ranking
|
Region
|
Region ID
|
State/territory
|
Score
|
90 per cent confidence interval
|
65
|
West Tasmania
|
605
|
Tas
|
-1.03
|
(-1.46, 0.11)
|
66
|
East Tasmania
|
602
|
Tas
|
-1.04
|
(-1.75, 0.49)
|
67
|
Kimberley
|
506
|
WA
|
-1.13
|
(-1.89, 0.57)
|
68
|
Bundaberg
|
309
|
Qld
|
-1.20
|
(-1.65, -0.21)
|
69
|
Whyalla - West Coast SA
|
403
|
SA
|
-1.21
|
(-1.44, -0.17)
|
70
|
Far North SA
|
406
|
SA
|
-1.26
|
(-1.40, -0.23)
|
71
|
Central Tasmania
|
603
|
Tas
|
-1.36
|
(-1.98, 0.31)
|
72
|
Gympie
|
310
|
Qld
|
-1.37
|
(-1.99, -0.24)
|
73
|
Central Australia
|
701
|
NT
|
-1.40
|
(-2.36, 0.30)
|
74
|
Far West NSW - Lower Murray
|
108
|
NSW-ACT
|
-1.40
|
(-1.53, -0.30)
|
75
|
Katherine
|
708
|
NT
|
-2.42
|
(-2.94, -0.66)
|
76
|
Daly
|
703
|
NT
|
-2.90
|
(-3.41, -1.02)
|
77
|
Barkly
|
702
|
NT
|
-3.20
|
(-3.81, -1.21)
|
|
Source: Productivity Commission estimates.
|
|
|
Table B.5 Regions excluded from the analysis
|
Ranking
|
Region
|
Region ID
|
State/territory
|
Score
|
90 per cent confidence interval
|
na
|
Lord Howe Island
|
112
|
NSW-ACT
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
French Island
|
206
|
Vic
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
APY Lands
|
405
|
SA
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
Kangaroo Island
|
408
|
SA
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
King Island
|
606
|
Tas
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
Tiwi Islands
|
704
|
NT
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
West Arnhem
|
705
|
NT
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
Anindilyakwa
|
706
|
NT
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
East Arnhem
|
707
|
NT
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
Christmas Island
|
801
|
Other
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
Cocos Island
|
802
|
Other
|
na
|
na
|
na
|
Norfolk Island
|
803
|
Other
|
na
|
na
|
|
na Not applicable
|
Source: Productivity Commission estimates.
|
|
|
Figure B.1 Functional economic regionsa
|
|
a Numbers correspond to Region ID.
|
Source: Productivity Commission estimates.
|
|
|
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