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The technical information in this document is used by the Medical Services Advisory Committee (MSAC) to inform its deliberations. MSAC is an independent committee that has been established to provide advice to the Minister for Health on the strength of evidence available on new and existing medical technologies and procedures in terms of their safety, effectiveness and cost-effectiveness. This advice will help to inform government decisions about which medical services should attract funding under Medicare.
MSAC’s advice does not necessarily reflect the views of all individuals who participated in the MSAC evaluation.
Executive summary 5
An assessment of nucleic acid amplification testing for active mycobacterial infection 5
Main issues for MSAC consideration 5
Rationale for assessment 5
Proposed medical service 6
Current funding arrangements 6
Proposal for public funding 6
Comparator details 7
Clinical use of the intervention 7
Key differences in the delivery of the proposed medical service and the main comparator 8
Clinical claim 8
Approach taken to the evidence assessment 8
Characteristics of the evidence base 9
Results of assessment 9
Other relevant considerations 13
Economic evaluation 14
Glossary and abbreviations 18
Introduction 20
Background 21
Approach to assessment 36
Objective 36
Clinical pathway 36
Comparator 42
The reference standard 42
Research questions 42
Diagnostic assessment framework 43
Review of literature 44
Expert advice: Health Expert Standing Panel (HESP) 56
Results of assessment and discussion 57
Is it safe? 57
Is it effective? 58
Direct evidence of the effectiveness of NAAT in the diagnosis of MTB 58
Linked evidence of effectiveness of NAAT in the diagnosis of MTB 62
Is it accurate? 62
Does it change patient management? 83
Does change in management improve patient outcomes? 89
Linked evidence of diagnostic effectiveness of NAAT in the diagnosis of NTM 104
Is it accurate? 104
Other relevant considerations 112
TB in the Australian Indigenous population 112
What are the economic considerations? 116
Economic evaluation 116
Population and setting for the economic evaluation 116
Structure and rationale of the economic evaluation 117
Inputs to the economic evaluation 125
Outputs from the economic evaluation 140
Financial implications 149
Data sources used in the financial analysis 149
Net financial implications to the MBS 149
Other Australian healthcare system costs 154
Conclusions 155
Is NAAT safe? 155
Is NAAT effective? 155
Is NAAT cost-effective? 163
Costing 164
Appendix Search strategies 166
Appendix Diagnostic accuracy 2x2 data from included studies 169
Appendix Analysis of diagnostic accuracy data 197
Appendix Meta-analysis of studies assessing the diagnostic accuracy of AFB compared with culture 216
Appendix Study profiles of studies included in the assessment 221
Appendix Excluded studies 270
Appendix Economic literature search 287
Appendix Additional information relating to the economic evaluation 288
Appendix Alternative NAAT fees 295
References 296