advanced rapidly in price, why should anybody settle for mediocre earnings? So, our first basic rule in stock selection
is that quarterly earnings per share should be up by at least 20 to 50 percent year to year.
The "A" in our formula stands for annual earnings per share. In our studies, the prior five-year average
annual compounded earnings growth rate of outstanding performing stocks at their early emerging stage was 24
percent. Ideally, each year's earnings per share should show an increase over the prior year's earnings.
It is a unique combination of both strong current earnings and high average earnings growth that creates a
superb stock. The EPS rank, which is published
in lnvestor's Daily,
combines a stock's percent earnings increase
during the past two quarters with the past five-year average percent earnings and compares that figure to every
other stock we cover. An EPS rank of 95 means that a company's current and five-year historical earnings have
outperformed 95 percent of all other companies.
The "N" in our formula stands for something new. The "new" can be a new product or service, a change in the
industry, or new management. In our research we found that 95 percent of the greatest winners had something new
that fell within these categories. The "new" also refers to a new high price for the stock. In our seminars we find that
98 percent of investors are unwilling to buy a stock at a new high. Yet, it is one of the great paradoxes of the stock
market that what seems too high usually goes higher and what seems too low usually goes lower.
The "S" in the formula stands for shares outstanding. Ninety-five percent of the stocks that performed best in
our studies had less than twenty-five million shares of capitalization during the period when they had their best
performance. The average capitalization of all of these stocks was 11.8 million shares, while the median figure was
only 4.6 million. Many institutional investors handicap themselves by restricting their
purchases to only large-
capitalization companies. By doing so, they automatically eliminate some of the best growth companies.
The "L" in our formula stands for leader or laggard. The 500 best-performing stocks during the 1953-1985
period had an average
relative strength
of 87 before their major price increase actually began. [The relative strength
measures a stock' s price performance during the past twelve months compared to all other stocks. For example, a
relative strength of 80 would mean that the given stock outperformed 80 percent of all other stocks during the past
year.] So, another basic rule in stock selection is to pick the leading stocks—the ones with the high relative strength
values—and avoid the laggard stocks. I tend to restrict purchases to companies with relative strength ranks above 80.
The "I" in the formula stands for institutional sponsorship. The institutional buyers are by far the largest
source of demand for stocks. Leading stocks usually have institutional backing. However, although some institutional
sponsorship is desired, excessive sponsorship is not, because it would be a source of large selling if anything went
wrong with the company or the market in general. This is why the most widely owned institutional stocks can be poor
performers. By the time a company's performance is so obvious that almost all institutions own a stock, it is probably
too late to buy.
The "M" in our formula stands for market. Three out of four stocks will go
in the same direction as a
significant move in the market averages. That is why you need to learn how to interpret price and volume on a daily
basis for signs that the market has topped.
At any given time, less than 2 percent of the stocks in the entire market will fit the CANSLIM formula. The
formula is deliberately restrictive because you want to pick only the very best. If you were recruiting players for a
baseball team, would you pick an entire lineup of .200 hitters, or would you try to get as many .300
hitters as
possible?
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