regular cash remittances. Only 5 people in the sample were employed informal
jobs and informal work is unstable and variable. Chapter 5 contains a
description of the types of fuels used, attitudes towards different fuels,
appliances used and fuel expenditure. The dominant fuel used at Mabibi is wood.
It is used for cooking, ironing, heating water and in some cases for lighting.
Attutides towards wood as a good fuel are grounded in the fact that it is cheap
and readily available, that it is their custom to use wood, that it suits the
type of food cooked and the manner in which it is cooked. It is unlikely that
this practice will change in the near future and this aspect should not be
neglected in energy planning. The most widely used alternative fuel is gas.
Most other studies have pointed to paraffin as the most commonly used
transitional fuel because it is much cheaper than gas. The reason for this
anomaly may lie in the fact that because there is an abundant supply of free
wood, the alternative fuels are used minimally and the people therefore may
select the fuel they prefer without it impacting heavily on the household
budget. Gas is used at certain times of the day, for example the mornings, when
tasks need to be performed quickly. Gas was preferred over paraffin as a
cooking fuel and for heating water because it is quicker and easier to use and
does not release fumes. Where paraffin is used it is mainly for lighting
because it is cheap. Expenditure on fuel ranged from 5 to 30% of monthly income
and is not directly proportional to income. It is dependent to a greater extent
on the activities in which the household members are involved, the source of the
income and the number of appliances owned, or in other words the degree of
modernisation of the household. Households in which the members have a secure
position in the labour economy have moved away from the traditional fuels and
have purchased appliances which entail a greater expenditure on fuel. In view
of the importance of wood as a fuel, chapter 6 is devoted to a discussion of the
collection and usage of wood. Women and children are responsible for collecting
wood. There is an abundant supply of fuelwood at Mabibi, the main source being
the dune forest, although wood is collected from around the homesteads and Lake
Sibaya when needs are pressing and there is insufficient time to collect from
the dune forest. Trips to the dune forest take at least 1 and a half hours and
sometimes more than 3 hours, whereas collection time around the homesteads
ranged from 25 to 60 minutes. On average, households collected wood 3 times a
week. The people have a good knowledge of the tree species and there are a
number of species which are avoided due to societal taboo, association with
folklore and because they are not good fuelwood. The KwaZulu Bureau of Natural
Resources (KBNR) plans to fence off the coastal dune forest to conserve its rich
ecological diversity. Clearly, controlled access to the forest will impact
heavily on the Mabibi community who depend on the dune forest for survival and
who regard the forest as theirs. It is vital that this potential point of
conflict be addressed if conservation is to succeed and the community is to
survive. Whilst socio-economic factors, household activities and gender
relations affect energy consumption patterns there are other factors such as
seasonal and institutional influences which are elaborated on in chapter 7.
Chapter 8 presents an account of daily household responsibilities and
acctivities, as it is argued that the activities and the demands that they place
on women's time influence the energy related activities of the day. What is
apparent is that women have full days which demand that a number of different
responsibilities are fulfilled. In any given day certain forms of work will
take priority over others. This also applies to energy related activities, so
that if women are too busy to make a trip to the dune forest to collect wood,
they will collect from around the homestead and meals are not cooked when there
are other tasks to be done. Chapter 9 is devoted to an evaluation of the Wind
Energy Project as it has served to inform the way in which the community has
come to think about electrification and the meaning that it has for their lives.
Every respondent in the sample, whether they believe they can afford it or not,
revealed that they would like to have electricity in their homes. It is
stressed that if the project is to live up to its goals of enhancing the
educational environment and improving the quality of life of the community, that
local peoples' priorities and needs must be taken into account and that the
project's vision should be one of local sustainability. In this respect it is
recommended that local people should be involved in the maintenance of the wind
energy system and that community participation should form an important part of
the planning, implementation and management of any future project of this
nature. It is further suggested that an educational NGO be involved in the
project at this stage to ensure that the optimal benefit from the system is
derived. Conclusions are drawn in chapter 10, and chapter 11 contains a list of
recommendations which relate to: energy utilization in rural communities in
general; the unique aspects of energy utilization in Mabibi in view of the
institutional influences from organisations such as KwaZulu Bureau of National
Resources and KwaZulu Forestry; and finally, the Mabibi Wind Energy Project.
Ref ID : 2306
1159. James, F.C. and McCulloch, C.E. Multivariate analysis in ecology and
sytematics: panacea or pandora's box? Annual Review of Ecological Systems
21:129-166, 1990.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : POPULATION
Notes : The article concludes that the ecologists and systematics need
multivariate analysis to study the joint relationships of variables. That the
methods are primarily descriptive in nature is not necessarily a disadvantage.
Statistical inference may be possible, but, as with univariate analysis, without
experiments even the most insightful applications can only hint at roles,
processes, causes, influences, and strategies. When experiments are not
feasible, quasiexperimental designs, which involve paired comparisons or time-
series analysis, may be able to provide weak inferences about causes. As with
univariate work, statistical inference (tests and p-values) should be reported
only if a probability sample is taken from a well-defined larger population and
if assumptions of the methods are met. Interpretations of multivariate analyses
should be restricted to the joint relationships of variables, stepwise
procedures should be avoided. We did not expect our review to have such a
negative flavour, but we are forced to agree in part with the criticism that
multivariate methods have opened a Pandora's box. The problem is at least
partly attributable to a history of cavalier applications and interpretations.
We do not think that the methods are a panacea for data analysts, but we believe
that sensitive applications combined with focus on natural biological units,
modelling, and an experimental approach to the analysis of causes would be a
step forward. In morphometrics, few workers are taking advantage of some
precise mathematical methods for the definition of size and shape and their
covariation.
Ref ID : 1707
1160. Jarman, N. and Bosch, O. The identification and mapping of extensive
secondary invasive and degraded ecological types (test site D). In: To assess
the value of satellite imagery in resource evaluation on a national scale.
Special report, edited by Malan, O.C.Pretoria:CSIR, 1973,p. 77-80.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : SATELLITE IMAGERY; VEGETATION CHANGE; DESERTIFICATION ASSESSMENT;
ECONOMIC ASPECTS; BUSH ENCROACHMENT
Notes : The investigators conclude, firstly, that it was encouraging that
vegetation boundaries associated with degradation, especially with such fine
physiognomy, could be identified if sufficient fieldwork and ground control are
done. The area showing positive identification was associated with a distinct
topography which probably aided identification. Extrapolation, with sufficient
ground control, is expected to be positive but at present the complete picture
cannot be obtained. This research has been reviewed by a number of research
workers and the popular press. There is some disagreement over the exact
boundary drawn although the invasionary trend is agreed by all. This problem
will be settled with the completion of the present project in 1974. Secondly,
although agriculturalists were aware of this vegetation change ERTS imagery has
high-lighted the problem. An evaluation of revenue lost and the amount of money
it will cost to prevent encroachment cannot be readily estimated, but if
degradation carries on at its present rate the revenue loss will be maximal. It
is only from a synoptic view of these threatened areas as given by ERTS that the
vegetation patterns can be readily observed and brought to the notice of
Agricultural Planners. Infrared coloured lithoprints are not available for this
area yet, but evidence of degraded areas in the Tugela River Valley suggests
that this medium may help in identifying this boundary more positively.
Ref ID : 1003
1161. Jarman, N.G. An investigation into the boundaries of the evergreen forests
and other vegetation types of the eastern Cape. In: To assess the value of
satellite imagery in resource evaluation on a national scale. Special Report.
edited by Malan, O.G.Pretoria:CSIR, 1973,p. 61-72.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : REMOTE SENSING; SATELLITE IMAGERY; EASTERN CAPE; FOREST; SAVANNA;
GRASSLAND
Notes : The conclusions of this study were as follows: (1) From an entirely
vegetational aspect, ERTS imagery cannot be used to give definite boundaries,
but is a useful tool to formulate ideas about the vegetation and to assist
considerably the boundary mapping of pre-investigated areas of sizes
approximately 20 000 hectares in extent (2) This particular image gives a
synoptic view of an area, a portion of which has, in the past, been mapped in
detail, and which has been studied briefly by the investigator. This portion
acted as truth site information, and from there it was possible to extrapolate
certain hue characteristics and interpret them in terms of vegetation, these
were checked on airphotos at a 1:36 000 scale. (3) Extrapolation was found to
be difficult as the physiognomic variation of most of the area is limited, being
of a thorn savanna type with varying degrees of trees and shrub. This resulted
in comparatively few categories. However, on a regional basis it is important
that this large area, termed 'Wooded Grassland' or Grassy Woodland, can be
recognised and separated from predominantly grassland and dense vegetation such
as Forest and Shrub. (4) The locality of the major forests has been known, but
their boundaries have never been accurately mapped at a regional level. This
was done with comparative ease. (5) The boundary between pure, well-managed
grass and the savanna types is clear, in the case of the "Dohne Sourveld' grass
phase and the major invading savanna types of Valley Bushveld, but the
boundaries between grassveld and the thornveld in different cirucmstances, as in
the area west of King Williams Town are somewhat arbitrary. Extrapolation by
using ERTS imagery alone is not reliable. (6) The separation of succulent
shrub types and forests due to their different hue saturations is useful and
some confidence can be placed on the interpretation. (7) An unsolved problem
was the separation of natural evergreen forest from planted exotic forest
plantations. (8) This image highlights the problems of land utilisation in the
area with the encroachment of Valley Bushveld into mismanaged areas, which may
vary according to the demographic patterns involved. Many hue variations
reflect agricultural practices.
Ref ID : 388
1162. Jeeves, A.H. and Crush, J. White farm black labour. The state and
agrarian change in southern Africa: 1910-1950, Pietermaritzburg:University of
Natal Press, 1997.
Reprint : Not in File,
Keywords : POLITICAL ASPECTS; COMMUNAL AREA; SOCIOECONOMIC ASPECTS; POLICY;
ENVIRONMENTAL HISTORY
Ref ID : 773
1163. Johnson, P.A. Veld degeneration associated with an increase in Aristida
junciformis (Trin. et Rupr.) dominant communities: a literature review. Working
Paper No.25.Anonymous Anonymous Pietermaritzburg:Institute of Natural Resources,
University of Natal. :1-13, 1987.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : VELD CONDITION; GRAZING EFFECTS; VELD MANAGEMENT
Ref ID : 697
1164. Johnson, P.A. Veld degeneration associated with an increase in Aristida
junciformis dominant communities. Final report to the National Programme for
Environmental Sciences. Terrestrial Ecosystem Section 32. Investigational Report
39.Anonymous Pietermaritzburg:Institute of Natural Resources, University of
Natal. IR 39:i-32, 1989. Current literature relating to the problem of veld
degradation associated with Aristida junciformis Trin et Rupr. was reviewed and
a new approach to the problem proposed. The response of laboratory-grown A.
junciformis roots to aluminium (A1) was examined. It was shown that A.
junciformis germinates readily but is a slow grower. Roots of A. junciformis
were able to withstand high concentrations of soluble A1, levels at which Zea
mays L. would be very severely affected. Typical ultrastructural symptoms of A1
toxicity were present, but at a low level. An unusual pattern of secretory
vesicle production by the Golgi apparatus was noted which may give valuable
clues as to the physiology of A1-tolerant plants and stress-tolerant plants in
general. A field trial, examining the possible effects of several quantifiable
soil factors on the population dynamics of A. junciformis, was conducted.
Results suggested that the success of A. junciformis is due more to the poor
nutrient status of the soil than to the direct effects of the availability and
abundance of soluble A1. It was suggested that low levels of available
phosphorus (P) and high percentages of clay coupled with unusually low total
action counts and nutrient deficiency may act synergistically with the acid
nature of the soil to favour A. junciformis.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : KWAZULU NATAL; GRASSLAND; VELD CONDITION; VEGETATION CHANGE;
POPULATION
Notes : This is a literature review, concerning the following issues: a
description of Aristida junciformis; the distribution of Aristida junciformis;
veld degeneration due to Aristida junciformis and its damaging effect on
agriculture in SA; the causes of veld degeneration associated with Aristida
juncifomis; management options used to counteract and reverse the spread of
Aristida junciformis; and aluminium as a factor intimated in the cause of veld
degeneration due to Aristida junciformis.
Ref ID : 1645
1165. Johnston, D., Aliber, M., and Mphafudi, L. The reorganisation of state-run
and parastatal-run agricultural projects.Anonymous Anonymous Halfway
House:Development Bank of Southern Africa. Development Paper No(136):1-27, 1997.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT; COMMUNAL AREA; ECONOMIC ASPECTS; GOVERNMENT
INITIATIVES; IRRIGATION; LAND REFORM; RURAL DEVELOPMENT; SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
Ref ID : 926
1166. Johnston, P.A. and Fuggle, R.F. Variations in albedo in the southwestern
Cape Province. SA Geographer 15(1/2):37-42, 1987.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : CLIMATE; DESERTIFICATION ASSESSMENT; WESTERN CAPE; FYNBOS
Abstract : Variations in albedo in the Southwestern Cape Province. Ground based
reflectivity measurements were made in January, June and November at 37 sites in
the Southwestern Cape. The results indicate that human disturbance
significantly increases surface reflectance: from a mean of 11,2% over natural
vegetation to a mean of 17,5% over disturbed sites. In undisturbed vegetation
the variation of reflectivity between veld-types was not significantly
different. The abnormally low values of reflectivity which occur over fynbos
vegetation are noted.
Ref ID : 816
1167. Jones, G.A., Brierley, S.E., Geldenhuis, S.J.J., and Howard, J.R. Research
on the contribution of mine dumps to the mineral pollution load in the Vaal
Barrage.Anonymous Pretoria:Water Research Commission. 136/1/89, 1989.
Reprint : Not in File,
Keywords : POLLUTION; WATER QUALITY
Ref ID : 309
1168. Jones, R.I., McPhee, H.J., and Nanni, U.W. Soil loss estimation for
Southern Africa. Natal Agric.Res.Bull. (7), 1976.
Reprint : Not in File,
Keywords : SOIL EROSION; SEDIMENTATION
Ref ID : 1561
1169. Jordaan, F.P. Implementation of a computerised system of assessing
rangeland condition and monitoring in a number of key grazing areas of the
western grassland biome.Potchefstroom University. :1-476, 1997. Doctorate.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : MONITORING; GRASSLAND; VEGETATION DYNAMICS; VELD CONDITION; GRAZING
EFFECTS
Ref ID : 417
1170. Joubert, A. Simulations of southern African climatic change by early-
generation circulation models. Water SA 20(4):315-322, 1994.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE; MODELS; RAINFALL
Abstract : Early-generation equilibrium climate models display general agreement
concerning possible changes in surface air temperature and mean sea level
pressure for the Southern African region under doubled carbon dioxide
conditions. There is consensus amongst the models considered that the entire
region will become warmer and that tropical, subtropical and mid-latitude
circulations sytems will weaken and shift southward. Considerably less
agreement exists concerning possible changes in precipitation. Encouragingly,
though, the broad-scale features of predicted changes are in apparent agreement
with the expected circulation changes. Accordingly, northern tropical areas may
be expected to become wetter throughout the year. The summer rainfall regions
may experience wetter summers while wetter summer and drier winter conditions
are expected for the winter rainfall region for the SW Cape. However, caution
must be exercised in the interpretaion of simulated precipitation changes over
the subcontinent due to the coarse spatial resolution and simplistic
parameterisation of precipitation mechanisms used in the models.
Ref ID : 1002
1171. Joubert, A.M. Simulations of southern African climate by early generation
general circulation models. South African Journal of Science 91:85-91, 1995.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : CLIMATE; CLIMATE CHANGE; MODELS; RAINFALL
Notes : The present-day performance of six early generation general circulation
models is assessed for the southern African region. The validation focuses on
the simulation of the pattern and magnitude of observed surface air
temperatures, mean sea-level pressures and precipitation. Calculated errors in
the simulation of southern African climate are generally characteristic of those
reported elsewhere for this generation of mixed-layer slab-ocean equilibrium
climate models. In each case, errors in the simulation of a particular variable
are related to the representationn in the models of physical processes important
to the region's climate. Surface air temperature simulations are sensitive to
the parameterizaton of cloud radiactive feedbacks and cumulus convection.
Accurate representation of the equator-to-pole surface pressure gradient is
strongly dependent on the inclusion of a gravity wave drag term in the
parameterization of surface stress. Convective precipitation is poorly
simulated by the coarse-resolution models considered in this analysis.
Consequently, the ability of the models to represent the pattern of rainfall
seasonality is assessed as a means of evaluating the response of rainfall
patterns to large-scale circulation changes associated with the annual cycle of
radiation. Accurate simulations of specific variables by individual models are
identified. In respect of all three variables considered, one model is shown to
provide the most accurate representation of present-day southern African
climate.
Ref ID : 1153
1172. Joubert, A.M. and Hewitson, B.C. Simulating present and future climates of
southern Africa using General Circulation Models. Progress in Physical Geography
21(1):51-78, 1997.
Reprint : Not in File,
Keywords : CLIMATE CHANGE; PALAEOENVIRONMENTS
Ref ID : 973
1173. Joubert, A.M. and Kohler, M.O. Projected temperature increases over
southern Africa due to increasing levels of greenhouse gases and sulphate
aerosols. South African Journal of Science 92:524-526, 1996.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : CLIMATE; CLIMATE CHANGE; POLLUTION; MODELS; SOUTHERN AFRICA
Notes : Two transient climate change integrations from the Hadley Centre fully-
coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model are considered. In the first
experiment, climate is forced by greenhouse gases only. In the second
experiment, the direct effects of sulphate aerosols in addition to greenhouse
gases are included. Both experiments simulate mean temperature and temperature
variability over southern Africa, during the period 1961-1990, which are not
statistically significantly different from observations. Over southern Africa,
warming predicted in the sulphate experiment for the decade during which carbon
dioxide doubled (2050-2059), expressed relative to 1990-1999, was 2.1oC, as
opposed to 3.7oC in the greenhouse gas only experiment. The rate of warming
over southern Africa for the seven decades between 1990 and 2059 was 0.47oC per
decade in the greenhouse gas and 0.3oC per decade in the sulphate aerosol
experiments. In both cases, the rate of warming over southern Africa was
greater than the global average.
Ref ID : 2275
1174. Joubert, A.M. and Mason, S.J. Droughts over southern Africa in a coubled-
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