Executive summary


Annex 1.1: Additional Results on Growth and Poverty



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Annex 1.1: Additional Results on Growth and Poverty





Figure A.1.1.1: Annual Growth Rates of GDP-National Accounts and Income–EH Survey, 1997-2003






Source: Nationals Accounts, Contraloria General de la República de Panama. Own estimates based on Encuesta de Hogares (EH), 1996-2003 data.







Figure A.1.1.2: Difference Between Growth Rate Per Capita GDP and Per Capita Income From Household Surveys



Source: Gasparini, Gutierrez and Tornarrolli (2005).

Note : The period of reference for the growth rate p/c GDP and income survey is: Argentina;1992-2004, Bolivia; 1993-2002, Brazil; 1990-2003, Chile; 1990-2003, Colombia; 1992-2004, Costa Rica;1992-2003, Dominican Republic; 2000-2004, Ecuador; 1994-198, El Salvador; 1991-2003; Honduras; 1997-2003, Jamaica; 1990-2002, Mexico; 1992-2002, Nicaragua; 1993-2001, Paraguay; 1997-2002, Peru; 1997-2002, Uruguay; 1989-2003, Venezuela;1989-2003.





Figure A.1.1.3: Correlation by Sector of Activity Between

(i) Annual Growth rates of GDP-National Accounts and labor income-survey

(ii) Decomposition of the change of GDP-National Accounts and labor income-survey





Source: Nationals Accounts, Contraloria General de la República de Panama.

Own estimate based on ENV 1997 and 2003 data.





Table A.1.1.1: Annual Growth Rates of Survey – Agriculture Income, 1997-2003






Source: Own estimates on ENV 1997 and 2003 data.






Figure A.1.1.4: Distribution of Per Capita Consumption by Area - Kernels Function

1997, 2003

  1. National



  1. Urban



  1. Rural




  1. Indigenous



Source: Own estimate based on ENV 1997 and 2003 data.

Note: The vertical line in the graphs indicates the value of the extreme poverty line in 2003.






Table A.1.1.2: Who are the extreme poor in 1997?

Decomposing the Extreme Poverty, Poverty Gap, and Severity by Area



Source: Own estimate based on ENV 1997 and 2003 data.

Note: Extreme poor refers to the population who has its per capita consumption below the extreme poverty line value.






Figure A.1.1.5: Extreme Poverty Impact of Different Growth Scenarios – Exercise 1




(i) Simulating changes in extreme poverty using three different growth scenarios with an associated increase in inequality of 1 percent between 2003 and 2015



Source: Own estimate based on ENV 1997 and 2003 data.






Table A.1.1.3: Poverty Impact of Different Growth Scenarios – Exercise 2



Source: Own estimate based on ENV 1997 and 2003 data.




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