The unece organizes with the financial support of the World Bank

The UNECE organizes with the financial support of the World Bank

• The UNECE organizes with the financial support of the World Bank

• For the Central Asian and other CIS Countries

• The program consists of training workshops and study visits

• Builds on the international recommendations

• Training and exercises will be provided
• Discusses problems and possible solutions
• Exchange of experiences

14-17 March, 2011 (Astana, Kazakhstan)

• 14-17 March, 2011 (Astana, Kazakhstan)

• Topics covered:

• Why are short-term statistics important?
• Use of multiple data sources
• Methodology of compilation of STS
• Dissemination
• Seasonal adjustment in practice
• Exercises on seasonal adjustment

• Participants in this Workshop to participate in the next workshop on seasonal adjustment

2011 (Istanbul, Turkey)

• 2011 (Istanbul, Turkey)

• Topics covered:

• Calculation of elementary and higher-level indices
• Coverage of goods and services
• Treatment of missing prices and their replacements
• Seasonal items
• Adjustment for quality changes

• Will be based on the international Consumer Price Indices Manual

2011 (Kiev, Ukraine)

• 2011 (Kiev, Ukraine)

• Topics covered:

• Implementation issues of the 2008 SNA
• Discussion of the problematic areas and priority setting
• Support countries to establish implementation plans
• Development needs of both national accounts and the related primary statistics
• Building of networks of experts in SNA and NA

2012 (Istanbul, Turkey)

• 2012 (Istanbul, Turkey)

• Topics covered:

• Tackle the methodological and practical issues of seasonal adjustment
• Seasonal adjustment of problematic time series
• Analyses of the quality of seasonal adjustment
• Discuss countries’ experiences and problems

Session 1

• Session 1

• Workshop Introduction

• Welcome
• Workshop Purpose and Scope
• Challenges and Problems in the area of STS

• Session 2

• The Aim of STS – User view and Current Developments

• General recommendations on STS
• Why STS matters? User view on STS

Session 3

• Session 3

• STS Production Methodology

• STS compilation with multiple data sources
• Case studies from countries

• Session 4

• An Introduction to Seasonality and Seasonal Adjustment

• Components of time series, seasonality and preconditions for seasonal adjustment
• Seasonal adjustment as a process
• 1. Exercise: Getting started

Session 5

• Session 5

• Seasonal Adjustment Practice

• Why seasonally adjust and how?
• Issues on seasonal adjustment in the EECCA countries
• Round table: Current state of seasonal adjustment

• Session 6

• Pre-treatment of Time Series

• Pre-treatment practice for seasonal adjustment including calendar adjustment
• 2. Exercise: Examples of graphical analysis, outlier detection and the effect of calendar adjustment

Session 7

• Session 7

• Performing Seasonal Adjustment

• Model selection, seasonal adjustment and analyzing results
• 3. Exercise: Step-by-step seasonal adjustment

• Session 8

• Going forward with seasonal adjustment

• Disseminating statistical information on economic development
• How to release seasonally adjusted data
• Towards the next workshop & closing

Gain theoretical knowledge and practical skills

• Gain theoretical knowledge and practical skills

• To carry out seasonal adjustment
• To start providing users with seasonally adjusted data

• To get training and methodological materials

• Exchange experiences with other countries on seasonal adjustment
• Hear about international recommendations on STS and SA

• Participant Presentation Round!

Challenges & Problems of Short-Term Statistics (STS)

• Based on the UNECE paper on Short-Term Economic Statistics in the CIS and Western Balkans

• Carsten Boldsen Hansen

• Economic Statistics Section, UNECE

Agenda

• Introduction

• Availability of STS

• Publication policy

•