Drought conditions, which comprised a major system disturbance, led to stability
at State 3, dominated by U mosambicensis. Post-drought recovery was influenced
by pre-drought composition and stocking levels where tuft numbers, basal cover
and seedbank size were significantly reduced by increases stocking within a
sward dominated by species of low stature such as Aristida congesta subsp.
congesta, Urochloa mosambicensis, Sporobolus nitens, Sporobolus iocladus and
Tragus racemosa. It was suggested that extensive soil loss may lead to
stabilisation across an irreversible threshold at a forth state characterised by
shallow rooted species such as Tragus racemosa and Aristida congesta subsp.
congesta. Sensitivity of optimum economic stocking rate and net return to price
and interest rate fluctuations, and wage and feed cost increases were examined
for various rainfall and range condition scenarios. Net return and optimum
economic stocking rate increased as fainfall and range condition increased
through the effect of increased residual herbage mass at the end of summer,
decreased forage deficit periods and reduced supplementary feed costs. Net
return was highly responsive to changes in beef price where an increase in beef
price led to an increase in optimum economic stocking rate and net return. The
effect of reduced prices may be compounded by dry seasons, where supply-driven
decreases in price may occur. This suggested that for dry seasons the optimum
stocking rate was the lightest within the range of economic stocking rates.
Although an increase in interest rates would increase variable costs and lead to
reduced returns, the influence of interest rates on enterprises will vary in
relation to farm debt loads. Increased labour costs would result in a
corresponding decline in net return although optimum economic stocking rate
would remain unaffected. Increased supplementary feed cost had little influence
on net return relative to the effect of demand-driven increases in feed costs as
rainfall decreased. The distribution of net returns for stocking strategies of
0.20, 0.30 and 0.40 LSU ha-1 and climate-dependent stocking (where stocking
levels were varied in relation to rainfall and hence forage availability) and
range condition scores of 10, 50, 80 and a dynamic range model were examined for
60 year rainfall sequence (1931 - 1991). While a range score of 10 would see
residual herbage mass decline to below grazing cut-off of 1695 kg ha-1 before
the end of summer, a range score of 80 suggested that, irrespective of stocking
strategy within the range invstigated, herbage would not become limiting. This
suggested that irrespective of stocking strategy a range score of 10, estabished
across an irreversible soil loss threshold, would reflect accumulated losses
over the 60 year period. In contrast, a range score of 80 would lead to
positive accumulated returns. A dynamic range model (where range composition
was related to previous seasons rainfall) and a climate-dependent stocking
strategy, suggested that herbage would not become limiting by the end of summer
and forage deficit periods would be restricted to an average of 88 days per
year. Such an approach would yield a higher accumulated cash surplus than fixed
stocking strategies. Incorporation of stochastic rainfall effects allowed the
development of cumulative probability distributions based on 800-year
simulations to evaluate the risk associated with various stocking strategies.
Range condition played a major role in determining the risk of financial loss
where decreased range condition was associated with enhanced risk. An increase
in stocking rate resulted in increased variability in returns. Although the
risk of forage deficits and financial losses may be reduced with lighter
stocking, this may be at the cost of reduced returns during wetter seasons.
Increased stocking may increase the probability of higher returns during wetter
seasons although this may be at the cost of increased risk of forage deficits
and highly negative returns during dry seasons. Importantly, ecological risk
may increase as stocking is increased. A flexible or climate-dependent
strategy, where stock numbers are adjusted according to previous seasons
rainfall, may combine the financial benefits of each approach and reduce
financial risk. Although errors may carry high ecological costs where, for
example, the effect of an above-average rainfall seasons would be to increase
stock numbers into a subsequent dry season, the probability of incurring such
error was low. Current livestock production systems in the semi-arid savanna of
Natal based on breeding stock may not be appropriate in a highly variable
environment where low rainfall may require extended periods of supplementary
feeding or force the sale of breeding stock. A change in emphasis from current
systems to a mixed breeding system, where the level of breeding stock would be
set at the optimum economic stocking rate for drier seasons, may decrease both
financial and ecological risk. Growing stock may either be retained or
purchased during wetter seasons to reach the optimum economic stocking rate for
such seasons. Although growing stock may display a greater tolerance to
restricted forage intake (during drier seasons) than would breeding stock,
additional growing stock may be rapidly sold in response to declining rainfall
with no influence on the breeding system. Integration of woldlife into current
cattle systems may be an important means of reducing financial risk associated
with variable rainfall and profitability and ecological risk associated with
woody plant encroachment.Doctor of Philosophy.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : ECONOMIC ASPECTS; STOCKING RATE; SAVANNA; KWAZULU NATAL; MODELS;
FORECASTING; RAINFALL; DROUGHT; LABOUR; LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION
Notes : Abstract in file.
Ref ID : 1870
1056. Hatch, G.P. and Stafford Smith, D.M. The bioeconomic implications of
various drought management strategies for a communal cattle heard in the semi-
arid savanna of KwaZulu-Natal. African Journal of Range and Forage Science
14(1):17-25, 1997.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : DROUGHT; SAVANNA; KWAZULU NATAL
Abstract : The widespread drought of the early 1990s resulted in considerable
stock losses in the semi-arid savanna of KwaZulu-Natal. We compared the
influence of four drought response strategies on herd number, milk yield, cost
and net present value for a communal cattle heard over the period 1983 to 2001
using a simulation modelling approach. The strategies were (1) no reaction to
drought; (2) moving stock to areas not affected by drought; (3) purchasing
replacement stock after the drought; and (4) supplementing stock during the
drought with sugar-cane residues. Moving, buying or feeding stock generated
greater milk yields and net benefits relative to no drought response, but at
considerably greater cost. Cost:benefit was greatest where a small proprotion
of female stock (10 percent) were moved. By doing nothing in the face of
regional drought, communal graziers may be acting rationally, given the
constraints under which they operate. The study reveals that simulation
modelling may provide a useful basis from which to assess the outcome of various
management strategies for communal graziers, and for integrating the disparate
suite of influences which drive decision-making on communal lands.
Ref ID : 1840
1057. Hatch, G.P. and Tainton, N.M. The influence of stocking rate, range
condition and rainfall on residual herbage mass in the semiarid savanna of
KwaZulu/Natal. African Journal of Range and Forage Science 12(2):76-80, 1995.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : STOCKING RATE; RAINFALL; SAVANNA; KWAZULU NATAL; MODELS
Abstract : Grazing trials at two sites in the semiarid savanna of KwaZulu-Natal
were stocked with cattle at light (0.17 LSU ha-1), intermediate (0.23 LSU ha-1)
and heavy (0.30 LSU ha-1) stocking. Pasture disc meter data collected over 116
three-week periods were used to develop a step-wise multiple linear model to
predict the amount of residual herbage at the end of the summer growing season
and the period (days) over which forage supplementation would be required to
maintain animal mass during the winter dormant season. Residual herbage mass at
the end of summer was significantly related to cumulative summer grazing days,
rainfall and range condition (indexed as the sum of proportions of Themeda
triandra, Panicum maximum and P. coloratum). The period of forage deficit
during which herbage mass declined below a grazing cut-off of 1 695 kg ha-1 was
significantly related to residual herbage mass at the end of summer.
Ref ID : 1852
1058. Hatch, G.P., Tainton, N.M., and Ortman, G.F. Towards the development of a
bioeconomic stocking model for the semi-arid savanna of KwaZulu-Natal. African
Journal of Range and Forage Science 13(2):67-71, 1996.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : MODELS; SAVANNA; KWAZULU NATAL; RAINFALL
Abstract : Rainfall variability is a major determinant of system dynamics and
profitability of livestock enterprises in arid and semi-arid environments.
Range managers consequently require detailed information on the financial and
ecological implications of various stocking strategies in order to formulate
viable management systems. Data collected over seven seasons (1986 - 1993),
from a series of extensive grazing trials in the semi-arid savanna of KwaZulu-
Natal with cattle stocked at three rates (0.17, 0.23 and 0.30 LUS ha-1) were
used to develop a bioeconomic stocking model (LOWBEEF). The model comprised two
biological sub-models (BEEF and GRASS), and an integrated economic component.
The BEEF sub-model related to seasonal live mass gain to stocking rate and
rainfall. The GRASS sub-model related residual herbage at the end of summer to
summer stocking intensity, range condition (indexed as the sum of proportions of
three key forage species, Themeda triandra, Pancum maximum and P. coloratum) and
rainfall. The period over which supplementary feeding would be required to
maintain cattle mass was related to residual summer herbage mass. The
biological sub-models were linked to an economic component model (ECON) to
reflect the influence of various environmental and economic parameters on
profitability.
Ref ID : 455
1059. Haylett, D. Runoff and soil erosion studies at Pretoria. South African
Journal of Agricultural Science 3(3):379-394, 1960.
Reprint : Not in File,
Keywords : SOIL EROSION; RUNOFF
Ref ID : 302
1060. Haylett, D.G. Runoff and soil erosion studies at Pretoria. South African
Journal of Agricultural Science 3:379-394, 1960.
Reprint : Not in File,
Keywords : SOIL EROSION
Ref ID : 303
1061. Haylett, D.G. Studies in rainfall and crops at Pretoria. Outlook on
Agriculture 3(5):241-249, 1962.
Reprint : Not in File,
Keywords : CULTIVATION; DROUGHT; PRODUCTION POTENTIAL; HYDROMETEOROLOGY
Ref ID : 569
1062. Hazelton, D.G., Pearson, I., and Kariuki, A.W. Development of drought
response policy options for the cost effective provision of water supply to
rural communities subject to recurring droughts.Anonymous Pretoria:Water
Research Commission. 506/1/94, 1995.
Reprint : Not in File,
Keywords : DROUGHT; POLICY; HYDROLOGY; COMMUNAL AREA; SUBSIDIES
Ref ID : 817
1063. Hazelton, D.G., Pearson, I., and Karuiku, A.W. Development of drought
response policy options for the cost effective provision of water supply to
rural communities subject to recurring droughts.Anonymous Pretoria:Water
Research Commission. 506/1/94, 1994.
Reprint : Not in File,
Keywords : DROUGHT; POLICY; RURAL DEVELOPMENT
Ref ID : 1771
1064. Heard, C.A., Tainton, N.M., and Clayton, J. A comparison of five methods
for assessing veld condition in the Natal Midlands. Journal of the Grasslands
Society of Southern Africa 3(3):70-76, 1986.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : VELD CONDITION; MONITORING; METHODOLOGIES; NORTHERN PROVINCE; VELD
MANAGEMENT
Abstract : Site rankings obtained from five methods of scoring veld condition in
the highland sourveld in the moist tall grassveld of the Natal Midlands were
correlated with rankings from methods of multivariate analysis. With few
exceptions, all methods gave rankings which were strongly correlated with
rankings from detrended correspondence analysis, thus indicating that they all
provide a practical means of indexing the relative veld condition of sites with
reasonable precision. The weighted quantitative climax and key species methods
were superior to the other three methods in this respect. The key species
method has the advantage of simplicity and speed, and should stimulate farmers
to undertake routine monitoring of their veld in these two regions.
Ref ID : 2148
1065. Heeg, J., Appleton, C.C., Davies, B.R., Joubert, S.C.J., and Walmsley,
R.D. Uses of, and human impact on rivers. The conservation of South African
rivers. O'Keeffe, J.H. Pretoria:Council for Scientific and Industrial Research.
131:24-35, 1986.
Reprint : Not in File,
Keywords : CONSERVATION
Notes : South African National Scientific Programmes Report no. 131.
Ref ID : 1330
1066. Heerden, J.M. and Langenhoven, J.D. Aangeplante graspeulgewasweidings in
die wintereengebied. Weiding: 'n stategie vir die toekoms.Anonymous Anonymous
Pretoria:Departement van Landbou en Watervoorsiening. :1-11, 1989. 0-621-12063-
4.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION; CLIMATE; GRASSLAND
Notes : See English translation in notes contained in ID no. 1289.
Ref ID : 1289
1067. Heerden, J.M. and Langenhoven, J.D. Cultivated grass/legume pastures in
the winter rainfall area. Grazing management a strategy for the future.Anonymous
Anonymous Pretoria:Department of Agriculture and Water Supply. :1-10, 1989. 0-
621-12062-6.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : RAINFALL; CLIMATE
Notes : It is important to bear in mind that pasture and animal production
systems are very complex. Factors such as locality, soil, climate and the
management skill of the farmer have a major influence on the ultimate result
achieved. Greater management skill is usually required for the successful
utilisation of grass/legume pasture than for pure grass pastures. As management
ability improves, and especially if certain basic principles are applied,
success will be achieved.
Ref ID : 1106
1068. Heine, K. Climate change over the past 135 000 years in the Namib Desert
(Namibia) derived from proxy data. Proceedings of the Nouakchott Symposium
"Desert Margin Changes of in Africa since 135 000 BP: Implications for Water,
Carbon and Man". Palaeoecology of Africa , 1997.
Reprint : Not in File,
Keywords : CLIMATE CHANGE; NAMIBIA
Ref ID : 2149
1069. Heinecken, T.J.E., Bickerton, I.B., and Morant, P.D. Estuaries of the
Cape. Part II: Synopses of available information on individual
systems.Anonymous Pretoria:CSIR. 411:72, 1982.
Reprint : Not in File,
Notes : Report no. 12: Buffels (Wes) (CSW1), Elsies (CSW2), Sir Lowry's Pass
(CSW8), Steenbras (CSW9), and Buffels (Oos) (CSW11).
Ref ID : 2150
1070. Hellawell, J.M. Biological indicators of freshwater pollution and
environment management, London:Elsevier Applied Science, 1986.
Reprint : Not in File,
Keywords : POLLUTION
Ref ID : 2019
1071. Henderson, L. Alien invasive Salix species in the grassland biome of South
Africa. South African Forestry Journal 157:91-95, 1991.
Reprint : Not in File,
Keywords : GRASSLAND
Ref ID : 1086
1072. Henderson, L. Invasive alien woody plants of the northern Cape. Bothalia
21(2):177-189, 1991.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : ALIEN PLANTS; NORTHERN CAPE
Abstract : The frequency and abundance of invasive alien woody plants were
recorded along roadsides and at watercourse crossings in 31% (90/286) of the
quarter degree squares in the study area. The survey yielded 23 species of
which the most prominent invaders were Prosopis spp. The most prominent
remaining species were: Opuntia ficus-indica, Nicotiana glauca and Melia
azadarach. The greatest abundance and diversity of alien invader plants were
recorded near human settlements. More than half of the total recorded species
have invaded perennial riverbanks. The episodic Molopo and Kuruman Rivers have
been invaded almost exclusively by Prosopis spp. which in places have formed
extensive stands.
Ref ID : 934
1073. Henderson, L. Invasive alien woody plants of the eastern Cape. Bothalia
22(1):119-143, 1992.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : ALIEN PLANTS; EASTERN CAPE
Abstract : The frequency and abundance of invasive alien woody plants were
recorded along roadsides and at watercourse crossings in 69.9% (151/216) of the
quarter degree squares in the study area. The survey yielded 101 species of
which the most prominent (in order of prominence) in roadside and veld habitats
were: Opuntia ficus-indica, Acacia mearnsii and A. cyclops. The most promenent
species (in order of prominence) in streambank habitats were: A. mearnsii,
Populus x canescens, Salix babylonica and S. fragilis (fide R.D. Meikle). The
greatest intensity of invasion was recorded in the wetter eastern parts and
particularly in the vicinity of Port Elizabeth, Uitenhage, East London,
Grahamstown, Hogsback and Stutterheim. There was relatively little invasion in
the central and western dry interior except along watercourses.
Ref ID : 2021
1074. Henderson, L. Plant invaders of southern Africa. Pretoria:Agricultural
Research Council. 5, 1995.
Reprint : Not in File,
Keywords : SOUTHERN AFRICA
Notes : Handbook no. 5 of the Plant Protection Research Institute.
Ref ID : 2022
1075. Henderson, L. South African Plant Invaders Atlas. Applied Plant Sciences
12:31-32, 1998.
Reprint : Not in File,
Ref ID : 2023
1076. Henderson, L. and Musil, K.J. Exotic woody plant invaders of the
Transvaal. Bothalia 15:297-313, 1984.
Reprint : Not in File,
Ref ID : 2024
1077. Henderson, L. and Wells, M.J. Alien plant invasions in the grassland and
savanna biome. Africa. In: The ecology and management of biological invasions in
southern Africa, edited by Macdonald, I.A.W., Kruger, F.J., and Ferrar,
A.A.South Africa:Oxford University Press, 1986,p. 109-131.
Reprint : Not in File,
Keywords : ALIEN PLANTS; GRASSLAND; SAVANNA; SOUTHERN AFRICA
Ref ID : 2026
1078. Hengelveld, R. Dynamics of biological invasions, London:Chapman & Hall,
1989.
Reprint : Not in File,
Ref ID : 304
1079. Henkel, J.J., Bayer, A.W., and Coutts, J.R.H. Subsurface erosion on a
Natal Midlands Farm. South African Journal of Science 35:236-243, 1938.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : SOIL EROSION; KWAZULU NATAL; LAND USE; EROSION
Notes : The soil erosion studies described in this paper were carried out on
Major R. Thomlinshon's farm, near Rosetta RAilway Station, Natal. A new type of
sub-surface erosion due to the corrosive action of underground water is
described and analysed. The erosion is due to the production of an anastomosing
system of vertical cracks in the drying subsoil, thus permitting the formatio
nof underground water channels during heavy rain. The life history of the
underground channels is traced and several remedial measures are suggested.
Ref ID : 43
1080. Henning, J.A.G. and Kellner, K. Degradation of a soil (Aridosol) and
vegetation in the semi-arid grasslands of South Africa. Botanical Bulletin of
Academia Sinica 35:195-199, 1994.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : DESERTIFICATION ASSESSMENT; SOIL NUTRIENTS; VELD CONDITION;
GRASSLAND; VEGETATION DYNAMICS; SOUTHERN AFRICA
Abstract : Degradation of the semi-arid grasslands of southern Africa involves
changes in the composition of vegetation and in the characteristics of the soil.
We have assigned the state of degradation to three classes, and we correlate
them to changes in the physical and chemical characteristics of the surface and
the subsurface soil. Decreased basal coverage by species of high ecological
status, and changes in the spatial distribution of the species resulted in
higher soil density, water run off loss, changes in the surface roughness, and
degradation of vesicular structures. Chemical changes included a considerable
decrease in the potassium, calcium and organic carbon content of the surface
soil, and an increase in the calcium and magnesium content of the subsurface
soils. We discuss possible explanations of the physical characteristics and
the changes in the nutritional state of the surface and subsurface soils.
Ref ID : 237
1081. Henrici, M. Grass or bush in the karroid area? South African Journal of
Science 28:266, 1931.
Reprint : In File,
Keywords : KAROO DESERTIFICATION; GRASSLAND; NAMA KAROO; PRODUCTION POTENTIAL;
STOCKING RATE; VEGETATION DYNAMICS; RAINFALL; DROUGHT; FREE STATE
Abstract : At the Veld Reserve, Fauresmith, different indigenous bushes and
grasses were tried out as to their suitability for feeding of sheep. Owing to
the low rainfall and the prolonged droughts, the area seems more fit for bushes,
although in summer sheep prefer grass. Analyses were done on grasses and bushes
to reveal their mineral content, the most important factor to characterise a
plant as a good or bad pasture plant. Phosphorus and calcium content are
discussed at full length. It appears that the mineral content of bushes like
Tripteris pachypteris, Phymaspermum parviflorum, Pentzia incana, Salsola aphylla
and glabrescens, Atriplex nummularia and A. halimus is high. But the grasses,
too are much richer in minerals than grasses (same species and others) of the
grassveld of Bechuanaland or Eastern Transvaal. In springtime, or in a bad
season after the first rain, the phosphorus content of grasses at Fauresmith is
as high or even higher than that of good bushes. Values over 1 per cent are not
Dostları ilə paylaş: |