306 INDU AND ISMEL CHAPTER 19 CHAPTER 19 CMLOAJIONAL FAULT LlNES 307 and the innocent believers. As brought out earlier thP ”Foreign imports are nice as shiny or high-tech’things’ But recrudescence of the regressive impulses in some otherwise intangible social and political institutions imported from progressive Islamic countries and recourse to fundamentalism in elsewhere can be deadly-ask the Shah of Iran. Islam tor many others lies to a large extent in the atavistic urge of Muslim US ’S ”Ot just a religion but 3 W3y °f ’’^ W! ^^ tO societies to seek a solution to the present day problems by cat- modernize, but not necessarily westernize.” scanning the Koranic texts to discover hidden meanings where Tnis resurgence of Islamic awakening in personal life has none exist. This lack of rationality has led to many incongruous
situations in the daily life of a Muslim; the issues of personal law,
penal and civil code, economic and scientific discoveries and so
on. The few voices of reform have been drowned in a general
cacophony of the extremist fundamentalists. This is particularly
true of Pakistan and India, which have the largest population of
Muslims. America centric West is plagued with internal problems of
deficit, poor work ethics, low saving rates, social disintegration,
drugs and crimes. Inevitably, the economic power and
consequential military strength is gradually shifting eastward, mostly
China and japan centric, while India is on the verge of an
economic takeoff. In consequence, the dominance of the West
would be eroded sooner than later, compounded by an
increasing hostility of Islam. In short, the balance of power is
shifting to modern civilizations, which are increasingly turning
atavistic and searching their moorings towards Cod away from
modernism. Secularism is on the retreat as fundamentalism
rapidly fills its space. With the second evangelization of Europe,
the present idiom is no longer to modernize Islam but to Islamise
”modernity’. This ’unsecularisation of the world’ will be a
prominent social fact in the new twentyfirst century. The number
of orthodox churches increased considerably in the Slavic
republics while an Islamic revival swept through Central Asia.
The number of churches, mosques and madarasas increased
manifold between 1989 till the end of 20th century. As Islamic
countries abandon western ideologies and culture, there is an
emphasis on recommitment to Islam. To quote a Saudi Arabian
official, many facets. To quote John L. Esposito: ”The indices of an Islamic awakening in personal life are
many; increased attention to religious observances, (mosque
attendance, prayer, fasting), proliferation of religious
programming and publications, more emphasis on Islamic
dress and values, the revitalization of Sufism (mysticism).
This broader-based renewal has also been accompanied by
Islam’s reassertion in public life, an increase in Islamically
oriented governments, organizations, laws, banks, social
welfare services, and educational institutions. Both
government and opposition movements have turned to Islam
to enhance their authority and muster popular support...
Most rulers and governments, including more secular states
such as Turkey and Tunisia, becoming aware of the potential
strength of Islam, have shown increased sensitivity to and
anxiety about Islamic issues.” In brief, the countries of Islamic civilization are re-inventing
themselves by falling back on Islamic education through
multiplicity of Islamic schools, Islamisation of the curricula,
adherence to the words of Koran and Hadis and development
of solidarity amongst Islamic states and societies. Returning to
the basis of our thesis, the important constituents of civilizational
identities are blood and belief, faith and family, common
language, religion, ancestry, values and institutions. The inevitable
result would be a reconfiguration of global politics on civilizational
basis and their conflict will lie along the fault lines separating
these groups. Though identity is generally the most meaningful
at the immediate contact level along with a single dimension,
narrower identities within these do not necessarily conflict with
the whole. The increased importance of lower level identities
may well reinforce their salience at the higher level of cultural 308 INDIA AND ISRAEL CHART R19 identities of ethnic groups, nationality and religion of a particul
civilization. To quote Edmund Burke : ”The love to the whole ’
not extinguished by this subordinate partiality ... To be attached
to the subdivision, to love the little platoon we belong to in
society, is the first principle (the germ, as it were) of public
affections.” In global politics with the disappearance of secular ideologies
the differences between various liberal democracies and
liberalization of civilization per se can be debated but not
resolved. To quote Huntington again: ”Differences in material interest can be negotiated and often
settled by compromise in a way cultural issues cannot. Hindus
and Muslims are unlikely to resolve the issue of whether a
temple or a mosque should be built at Ayodhya by building
both, or neither, or a syncretic building that is both a mosque
and temple. Nor can what might seem to be a straight
forward territorial question between Albanian Muslims and
Orthodox Serbs concerning Kosovo or between Jews and
Arabs concerning Jerusalem be easily settled, since each place
has deep historical, cultural and emotional meanings to both
people. Similarly, neither French authorities nor Muslim
parents are likely to accept a compromise, which would
allow schoolgirls to wear Muslim dress every other day during
the school year. Cultural questions like these involve a yes
or no zero sum choice”. Political leaders chasing the illusion of fundamentally reshaping
the culture of their societies are doomed to failure. They can
merely introduce a cosmetic layer of Western culture, but they
are sadly mistaken if they think that they can suppress or eliminate
the core element of their indigenous culture. They can make
history but they cannot escape history. With the best will in the
world to inject Western culture into these societies, they will only
end up by creating cultural schizophrenia, which would continue
to be their defining characteristic. Just as demography creates destiny, population movements
form the motor of history. Centuries past, economic conditions, ^t CHAPTER 19CIVILIZATIONAL FAULT LINES 309 ,,. ^~~^-^-^^---^- government policies and differentia! growth rates have caused
numerous immigrations within Europe and Asia. Though some
Of these were peaceful the others were violent. However, once
the settling process was completed, civilizational identities emerged.
It will not be incorrect to say that civilizations are the ultimate
hTjrrTaTfTritJes and the clash of civilizations is a tribe conflict on
tfiefworld scene. In the emerging scenario even states and groups
from different civilizations may form opportunistic coalition to
further their interests against an inimical civilization to share
common interests. The foundations of such coalition however,
will never be strong and will remain cool and even hostile. Arnold Toynbee describes Judaism as an ’arrested civilization’
and a product of an earlier Syriac civilization. The learned
professor is widely off the mark in not fully understanding the
developmental vitality of Judaism. It is unfortunate that by
affiliating Judaism to Christianity and Islam he has put history on
its head. He has conveniently forgotten that Christianity was
born_put of Judaism, while Isjajn mentions Judaism as its parental
faith, and Mohammed the last of the prophets of this common
genealogy dating back to Abraham. To quote Huntington again on the expansion of Western
culture, ”It was also facilitated by the superiority in organization,
discipline, and training of its troops and subsequently by the
superior weapons, transport, logistics and medical services resulting
from its leadership in the Industrial Revolution. The West won
the world not by the superiority of its ideas or values or religion
(to which few members of other civilizations were converted)
but”rather by its superiority in applying organized violence.
Westerners often forget this fact, non-westerners never do.” The political ideologies of the twentieth century i.e. Liberalism,
Socialism, Anarchism, or Corporationism, Marxism, Communism,
SocTaT democracy, Conservatism, Nationalism, Fascism and
Christian Democracy were all products of western civilization.
But west has never produced a major religion. All the great
religions of the world predate and do not belong to the western
civilisation. The demographic pattern of the world forecasts a
phenomenal increase in the two major proselytizing religions of 310 INDIA AND ISRAEL CHAPTER 19 Islam and Christianity, but in the long run, Mohammed will outpace
Jesus. Christianity spreads mainly through conversion, while
Islam by conversion and rapid reproduction. The percentage of
Christians in the world on its all time high of 30% of the world
population in 1980s has since been declining and will probably
reach 25% by 2025. But the extremely high growth rate of
Muslim population will continue to increase and will reach 30%
by the same date. This enormous population impelled by
religious fervour poses a great danger to the rest of the world
including Judaism, Christianity and Hinduism in particular and
the remaining parts in general. Westernism, which till yester year
was synonymous with modernization, is no more so. Again to
quote Huntington: ”Modernization, in short, does not necessarily mean
westernisation. Non western societies can modernize and
have modernized without abandoning their own cultures
and adopting wholesale western values, institutions and
practices. The latter, indeed, may be almost impossible;
whatever, obstacles non-western cultures pose to
modernization pale before those they pose to Westernisation.
It would, as Braudel observes, almost ”be childish” to think
that modernization or the ”triumph of civilization in the
singular” would lead to the end of the plurality of historic
cultures embodied for centuries in the world’s great
civilizations. Modernization, instead, strengthens those cultures
and reduces the relative power of the west. In fundamental
ways, the world is becoming more modern and less western.” ’ n The first fault line between Christian west and Israel against
IsLin would lie along the territorial boundaries of Middle East
and the whole of North Africa with the possible exception of
Egypt and Saudi Arabia. More likely than not these two countries
may also defect from their neutral position to join the Islamic
Middle East. North of the Middle East and below Russia, the
second threat to Western civilization may come from China. As
far as the Hindu civilization is concerned, the fault line would lie
along-the Pakistan border continuing north of Kashmir, against
Islam while the other line of conflict will lie against the Sinic .y CHAPTER 19 CIVILIZATIONAL FAULT LINES 311 civilization to the north along the Himalayas and in the North
Asia and further east against the rapidly Islamizing Bangladesh,
just as the Hindu civilization is hemmed between Islamic and
Sinic civilizations, so is Israel surrounded by militant Islam on all
’sides except the sea westward, beyond which may lie a friendly
Christianity with an American dominance. The lynchpin in the Confucian-Islamic entente controls a
conveyor belt, which moves a large amount of nuclear technology
and armsjo_ Pakistan and that is a direct threat to the Hindu
civilization. Though Chinese exports do trickle, to an extent, to
North Korea, the main recipients between 1980 and 1991,
were Iran and Pakistan, Iraq being a close second. In recent years violent conflicts between the Muslims and
local non-Muslims have taken place in a number of places. In
Bosnia, bloody conflict raged between Muslims and orthodox
Serbs and also in Kosovo between Muslims and Catholic
Croatians. Albanian Muslims carried out an underground war
against the Serbian rule, while the Albanian and Greek
Governments fought it out over the rights of their minorities in
each other’s country. The historic antagonism between Christian
Greek and Muslim Turks goes back to the times even before the
rise of Alexander and lasted till only a few decade back in the
partition of Cyprus along religious lines, the way it happened in
India. Turkey and Armenia are old enemies and Azeris and
Armenians have been constantly fighting for over 200 years for
the control of Nagorno-Karabakh. Muslim ethnic groups like
Chechens and Ingush have been fighting on and off for their
independence from the Russian Republic and the war still goes
on. The fight between Ingush and the Orthodox Ossetians
continues, as in the Volga basin the Tatar Muslims continued
their fight against the Russians till 1990s and finally settled for a
limited sovereignty under Russia, balanced precariously on an
uneasy compromise. Consider the following scenario. Since 1958 there have been
fifteen major Muslim inspired political confrontations in the world,
resulting from the Muslim point of view, in a significant revision
of the rhetoric of revolution. There is a double speak, which 312 INDIA AND ISRAEL CHAPTER 19 makes Geoge Orwell’s prophecy seem mild by comparison. They
fight their revolution to decolonise the world, shouting death to
the imperialists and racist governments. But these wars always
result in a new form of imperialism under Islam. While they
brand others as racists, their own dispensations are visibly more
rabidly racist. The_yotaries_qf..Islam are still dreaming of a new
version of Islamic expansion, which followed the death of
Mohammed. Its forces are poised to sweep three continents
from the Atlantic to the Indian Ocean, converting virtually every
nation in its path. The significant confrontation was the ArabIsraeli
conflict closely followed by the one between India and
Pakistan, and the latest accounted for tilM_993, _was the fight
between Islamic ”freedom fighters” and Government forces of
Philippines on the Island of Mindanao. In 1947 in India during
the exchange of populations, when India surrendered 400,000
sq. miles of sovereign territory to create Pakistan, which broke
up into two Muslim countries that never existed, there was a
blood- bath unparalleled in history. When in Nigeria, the
prominent Christian segment, Beaver, amongst a majority Muslim
population, attempted to form an independent state to escape
death and persecution, the Nigerians were not as human as the
Indians during the partition. A bloody war followed against the
Christian population and the Christians beaten and battered
became a second class citizenry. The same phenomenon is
happening in Bangladesh today where women are being raped
and the minority is being forced out of the country. In Algeria,
one million French Catholics had to leave after the country
gained independence. Earlier Algeria was as much a part of
France as Alaska is at present a part of the United State. Moving
eastwards, Libya, a conglomeration of local ethnic groups, pushed
out nearly 25,000 Italians resulting in the loss of some
$300,000,000 worth of property confiscated by the government.
The Sacred Heart Cathedral was converted to a mosque and
dedicated to Gammal Abdul Nasser. This gesture was to be a
reminder to the world that the Holy War of the Prophet 1000
years earlier was not for conquest but to wipe out the infidels
symbolically and materially. Libya has been at war with
Chad overrunning its northern region and continues its